Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 7/5/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres

Date: Monday, July 5, 2021

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+180) San Diego (-244)

Petco Park is the site where Joe Musgrove and the San Diego Padres (49-36, 3rd in NL West) will take on the Washington Nationals (40-41, 2nd in NL East) on Monday. The Nationals open this matchup at +180 while the Padres are priced at -244. The total has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Jon Lester and Joe Musgrove.

The Nationals have earned 118 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 90 balls out of the park. Washington has a slugging percentage of .404 and have been called out on strikes 681 times, while taking a walk on 250 occasions. As a team, the Washington Nationals are putting up 4.1 runs per contest, which has them at 26th in baseball. They have accumulated 314 runs batted in as well as 657 base knocks for the season, and their team batting average sits at .250. They have earned a total of 329 runs scored while having a team OBP of .323.

The Nationals have a team ERA of 3.99 for the year (14th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 685 hitters. They have walked 256 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.35 as a team so far this year. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.68 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.23. Nationals pitchers have surrendered 103 home runs in addition to 338 runs in total (9th in baseball).

Nationals relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 65 times in addition to having 69 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 42 holds over the course of the season (12th in MLB). The Nationals relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 66.7% and has entered the game in 73 save situations. They have 20 saves on the season and have not converted 10 out of their 30 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 98 runners this year and 31.6% of them ended up scoring. The Nationals have dispatched 272 relievers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Washington Nationals have a total of 2,083 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 685 assists and 46 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .984 which puts them in 12th in baseball, and have 589 double plays. The Nationals have converted 71.6% of balls in play into outs out of their 6,249 innings, ranking them 4th in pro baseball.

Lester has taken the hill for 2,656 innings and has 2,436 strikeouts thus far in his career. His earned run average is 3.64 (1,074 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.271. He has conceded 2,518 base knocks (8.5 hits per 9 innings) with 859 walks. Lester (195-114 career mark) holds a FIP of 3.73 while he has faced 11,115 hitters in the major leagues.

The San Diego Padres have earned an OBP of .321 in addition to a batting average of .238 so far this season. They have struck out on 707 instances (21st in baseball) and have recorded 663 hits. San Diego has accumulated 101 HRs so far this year to go along with 366 RBIs. The Padres have a slugging percentage of .399 and they score 4.54 runs per game (12th in the league). They have recorded 122 doubles, while taking a walk 326 times and scoring 386 runs.

The Padres have a team WHIP of 1.170 in addition to having a FIP of 3.76 as a staff so far this year. They have a ranking of 10th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 619. The San Diego pitching staff have allowed 310 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 3.27 (274 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio is 3.20 (841 strikeouts vs 263 walks). They have conceded 93 long balls and they relinquish 3.70 runs per 9 innings (1st in MLB).

San Diego has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 44 save chances and they have earned 29 saves. They rank 9th in the league with a save rate of 65.9%, and they have dispatched 312 relief pitchers to the hill this year. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 83 times in high leverage situations in addition to 52 occasions with runners on. San Diego relievers have an inherited score percentage of 24.3% of 70 inherited runners. With 100 save situations, the Padres have 54 holds in addition to 15 blown saves.

In 6,789 innings played, the Padres have a defensive efficiency of 70.4% (9th in baseball). The San Diego Padres have turned 74 double plays and have a fielding rate of .983 (16th in professional baseball). The Padres have racked up 723 assists, 51 errors and have a total of 2,263 putouts on the season.

So far in his career, Musgrove has conceded 546 hits while he has accumulated 571 punch outs in 585 innings. Musgrove (34-44 career win-loss mark) has a 4.07 ERA and has conceded 8.4 hits per nine innings. He has conceded 265 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.178 and a FIP of 3.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.97 and he has faced 2,441 hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Washington (+180)

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