New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 4/11/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Monday, April 11, 2022

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+125) Philadelphia (-145)

Citizens Bank Park is the location where the Philadelphia Phillies (82-80 last year) will try to defeat the New York Mets (77-85 last season) on Monday. The moneyline on this contest has New York at +125 while Philadelphia is sitting at -145. The total has been set at 9.5. The expected starting pitchers are Taijuan Walker and Ranger Suarez.

The Mets tallied 228 doubles as a unit and knocked 176 balls out of the park. New York had a slugging rate of .390 and were called out on strikes 1,392 times, while being walked on 495 occasions. As a squad, the New York Mets put up 3.9 runs per contest, which had them at 27th in MLB. They tallied 604 RBI's in addition to 1,242 hits last season, while their batting average sat at .238. They were sitting with 636 runs scored and held an on-base percentage of .314.

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The Mets held a team earned run average of 3.90 in the prior season (9th in the league), and their staff struck out 1,453 batters. They walked 475 opposing players and their FIP finished at 4.03 as a unit for the previous season. Their strikeout to walk ratio was 3.06 and the pitching staff earned a collective WHIP of 1.23. Mets pitchers yielded 190 long balls in addition to 668 runs in total (9th in baseball).

Mets relief pitchers entered the contest with runners on base 132 times in addition to having 175 games in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers had a total of 77 holds last year (17th in baseball). The Mets relievers earned a save percentage of 58.6% and stepped onto the hill in 149 save situations. They tallied 41 saves during the previous year and missed out on 29 of their 70 save opportunities. The relievers inherited 193 runners over the course of the prior season and 34.2% of them crossed the plate. The Mets dispatched 543 relief pitchers to the hill in the previous season.

The Mets turned 69.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,414 innings on the diamond, ranking them 16th in the majors. The New York Mets had 4,138 putouts over the course of the prior season, in addition to 1,312 assists and 95 errors. Their fielding percentage was at .983 which was 25th in baseball, and accumulated 121 double plays.

Walker has taken the ball for 740 innings and has totaled 674 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. Walker (42-45 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 4.31 while he has faced 3,122 opposing batters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 3.97 (327 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.233. He has allowed 674 hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) with 239 walks.

Philadelphia recorded 198 home runs over the course of last year in addition to 700 runs batted in. They recorded 262 doubles, while taking a walk 564 times and racking up 734 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies recorded an OBP of .318 and a batting average of .240 for the prior year. The Phillies held a slugging percentage of .408 and they were scoring 4.53 runs per game (13th in the league). They were called out on strikes on 1,402 occasions (15th in MLB) and had 1,288 base hits.

The Philadelphia pitching staff allowed 745 runs over the course of the prior season while having an ERA of 4.39 (692 earned runs conceded). They conceded 200 homers and they allowed 4.73 runs per 9 innings (17th in the league). The Phillies had a WHIP of 1.290 and were the owners of a FIP of 4.15 as a team during the previous year. Their strikeout to walk ratio came in at 2.91 (1,480 strikeouts vs 509 free passes). They were sitting at 15th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,321.

Philadelphia relievers held an inherited score percentage of 41.8% out of 225 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers came in 165 times in high leverage situations in addition to 144 occasions with runners on base. Wrapping up the year with 146 save situations, the Phillies accrued 70 holds in addition to 34 blown saves. They were ranked 26th in baseball holding a save percentage of 51.4%, and they sent 525 relievers to the mound last year. Philadelphia called on relief pitchers to take the mound in 70 save opportunities and they tallied 36 saves.

In their 12,768 innings on the field, the Phillies accumulated a efficiency on defense of 68.7% (24th in the majors). Philadelphia Phillies twisted 142 double plays and owned a fielding percentage of .984 (21st in the majors). The Phillies recorded 1,439 assists, 94 errors and earned 4,256 putouts for the previous season.

Suarez (15-8 mark in his career) has earned a 2.64 ERA while conceding 8.1 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.93 and he has gone up against 718 hitters during his MLB career. He has given up a total of 51 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.215 and a FIP of 3.5. So far in his pro baseball career, Suarez has allowed 156 hits while he has earned 161 K's in 173 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-145)

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