New York Mets vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 4/27/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Wednesday, April 27, 2022

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+105) St. Louis (-125)

Busch Stadium is the site where the St. Louis Cardinals (9-6) will play the New York Mets (13-5) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this game has the Mets at +105 while the Cardinals are coming in at -125. The total comes in at 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Carlos Carrasco and Steven Matz.

As a unit, the New York Mets are compiling 4.8 runs per game, which is 7th in baseball. They have tallied 86 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .340. The Mets have recorded 26 doubles as a unit and have hit 17 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 80 runs batted in in addition to 155 hits so far this year, while their average at the plate sits at .256. New York has a slugging percentage of .393 and have struck out 136 times, while taking a walk on 65 occasions.

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The Mets are sitting with a team earned run average of 2.74 this year (4th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 183 hitters. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.81 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.00. Mets pitchers have surrendered 13 long balls and 51 total runs (5th in baseball). They have walked 48 opposing hitters and their FIP is 2.81 as a team this season.

The Mets have dispatched 58 relievers to the mound for the year. The relievers have inherited 14 runners this year with 42.9% of them crossed the plate. They have earned 4 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 3 of their 7 chances to get a save. The Mets relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 57.1% and has entered the game in 18 save situations. The relief pitchers have 11 holds on the season (10th in the league). Mets relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 15 times and also have had 14 appearances in high leverage situations.

The New York Mets have earned 483 putouts on the year, in addition to 146 assists and 5 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .992 which has them ranked 6th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 10 double plays. The Mets have transformed 73.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of 1,449 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 4th in pro baseball.

Carrasco (90-78 career mark) has a FIP of 3.48 and he has faced 5,419 batters during his time in the majors. He has allowed 1,233 hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has had 341 free passes. His ERA is 3.83 (559 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.198. Carrasco has taken the mound for 1,314 frames and has tallied 1,375 strikeouts so far in his MLB career.

St. Louis has hit 13 home runs on the season to go along with 60 RBIs. They have 23 two-baggers, while taking a walk 51 times and scoring 62 runs. The St. Louis Cardinals hold a team OBP of .311 and a team batting average of .234 so far this season. The Cardinals hold a team SLG% of .361 and they tally 4.13 runs per game (13th in MLB). They have struck out on 120 instances (27th in the league) and have recorded 117 base knocks.

The Cardinals have a team WHIP of 1.198 with a FIP of 3.31 as a team so far this season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.84 (122 strikeouts against 43 free passes). They are sitting at 7th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 114. They have conceded 10 long balls and they concede 3.16 runs per 9 innings (5th in baseball). The St. Louis pitching staff have surrendered 46 runs this season while holding an ERA of 3.02 (44 earned runs allowed).

St. Louis has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 5 save chances and they have come away with 4 saves. They sit at 8th in MLB with a save percentage of 80.0%, and they have dispatched 47 relievers to the hill on the season. Their relief pitchers have come in 8 times in high leverage situations and also on 16 occasions with runners on. St. Louis relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 20.0% out of their 20 inherited runners. With 15 save situations, the Cardinals have earned 10 holds in addition to 1 blown save.

The St. Louis Cardinals have gotten 15 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (13th in MLB). The Cardinals have accrued 152 assists, 7 errors and have earned 393 putouts on the campaign. In 1,179 innings on the diamond, the Cardinals have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (21st in the majors).

So far in his pro baseball career, Matz has conceded 762 base knocks while earning 713 strikeouts in 744 innings pitched. He has surrendered 352 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.328 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.15 and he has faced 3,189 batters during his pro baseball career. Matz (47-49 career mark) holds a 4.26 ERA and has surrendered 9.2 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (+105)

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