San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 4/9/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Saturday, April 9, 2022

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: Bally Sports Arizona

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-155) Arizona (+135)

The Arizona Diamondbacks (52-110 last year) will play the San Diego Padres (79-83 last season) at Chase Field on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has the Padres at -155 and the Diamondbacks are at +135. The over/under is set at 9.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Joe Musgrove and Zach Davies.

The Padres compiled 273 two-baggers as a unit and hit 180 balls out of the park. San Diego had a slugging rate of .401 and struck out 1,324 times, while being walked on 586 occasions. As a team, the San Diego Padres notched 4.5 runs per outing, which put them at 15th in MLB. They accrued 695 RBI's as well as 1,305 base knocks for the previous season, and their average at the plate finished at .242. They notched a total of 729 runs scored and held an on-base percentage of .321.

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Padres pitchers gave up 205 home runs and 708 total runs (14th in baseball). They walked 516 opposing players and their FIP was 4.18 as a unit over the course of the prior season. Their strikeout to walk ratio was at 2.94 and the pitching staff had a team WHIP of 1.25. The Padres held a team ERA of 4.10 last year (14th in MLB), and the staff rung up 1,517 batters.

The Padres bullpen recorded a save rate of 61.4% and entered the game in 163 save situations. The relievers inherited 173 runners over the course of the prior season with 35.3% of those runners crossed home plate. Padres bullpen pitchers entered the game with runners on 123 times as well as having 156 games in high leverage situations. The Padres sent 624 relief pitchers to the hill last year. The relief pitchers finished with 91 holds during the previous year (8th in MLB). They recorded 43 saves for the prior year and missed out on 27 of 70 save opportunities.

The San Diego Padres had 4,290 putouts in the previous season, as well as 1,399 assists and 82 errors. Their fielding percentage was at .986 which ranked 10th in MLB, and they twisted 139 double plays. The Padres converted 69.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,870 innings on the diamond, which had them sitting 12th in MLB.

Musgrove has thrown 678 innings and has earned 668 K's in his MLB career. Musgrove (40-47 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 3.85 while he has faced 2,836 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.02 (303 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.192. He has given up 632 base hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has 176 free passes.

Arizona hit 144 home runs in the previous season to go along with 644 runs batted in. They hit 308 two-baggers, while walking 537 times and scoring 679 runs. The Arizona Diamondbacks earned a team on-base percentage of .309 and a team batting average of .236 in the prior season. The Diamondbacks had a slugging percentage of .382 and they averaged 4.19 runs per contest (25th in baseball). They struck out on 1,465 occasions (7th in baseball) and totaled 1,297 base knocks.

The Arizona pitching staff conceded 893 runs last year while having a team ERA of 5.11 (804 earned runs relinquished). They allowed 232 dingers and they yielded 5.67 runs per 9 innings (29th in baseball). The Diamondbacks had a WHIP of 1.436 and were the owners of a FIP of 4.88 as a squad over the course of last year. Their strikeout to walk ratio was 2.23 (1,238 strikeouts vs 555 walks). They finished at 29th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,480.

Finishing with 120 save situations, the Diamondbacks compiled 68 holds in addition to 28 blown saves. Arizona had relievers take the mound in 50 save opportunities and they walked away with 22 saves. Their relievers came in 151 times in high leverage situations and on 143 occasions with base runners. Arizona relievers had an inherited score percentage of 31.9% of 210 inherited runners. They were ranked 30th in baseball with a save percentage of 44.0%, and they sent 566 bullpen pitchers onto the field last season.

Out of their 12,756 innings on the field, the Diamondbacks accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.5% (27th in the majors). The Arizona Diamondbacks turned 113 double plays and held a fielding percentage of .983 (26th in baseball). The Diamondbacks racked up 1,374 assists, 100 errors and had a total of 4,252 putouts in the prior season.

Thus far in his career, Davies has surrendered 835 base hits while he has tallied 611 K's in 831 innings. He has conceded a total of 383 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.333 and having a FIP of 4.4. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.23 and he has faced 3,534 batters during his pro baseball career. Davies (56-48 career record) has earned a 4.14 ERA while conceding 9.0 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Arizona (+135)

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