Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 10/3/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox
Date: Monday, October 3, 2022
Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA
Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (-135) Boston (+115)
The Tampa Bay Rays (86-73) are traveling to Fenway Park on Monday where they will attempt to beat the Boston Red Sox (75-84). The moneyline on this game has Tampa Bay at -135 and Boston is sitting at +115. The over/under is 8.5. The starting pitchers are Tyler Glasnow and Rich Hill.
The Rays have earned 291 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 135 baseballs out of the stadium. Tampa Bay has a slugging rate of .378 and have been called out on strikes 1,365 times, while being walked on 487 occasions. As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays are putting up 4.2 runs/g, which has them sitting at 21st in MLB. They have earned 627 runs batted in and 1,274 hits this year, and their team batting average is at .240. They have accumulated 659 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .309.
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The Rays have compiled a team earned run average of 3.37 this year (4th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 1,356 batters. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.63 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.14. Rays pitchers have allowed 168 long balls in addition to 595 total runs (6th in baseball). They have walked 374 hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.68 as a unit so far this year.
The Rays relief pitchers have a save percentage of 55.0% and has come into the game in 198 save situations. The relievers have inherited 177 runners on the campaign and 25.4% of those players crossed the plate. Rays pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 134 times in addition to having 197 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rays have dispatched 564 relievers to the mound so far this season. The relief pitchers have racked up 116 holds over the course of the season (1st in baseball). They have compiled 44 saves this year and have missed out on 36 of 80 chances to get a save.
The Rays have transformed 71.0% of balls hit into play into outs in their 12,663 innings, which has them sitting at 4th in MLB. The Tampa Bay Rays have accumulated 4,221 putouts on the year, in addition to 1,355 assists and 81 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .986 which is 13th in professional baseball, and have a total of 107 double plays.
Glasnow has taken the ball for 406 innings and is sitting with 509 punch outs in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.03 (182 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.246. He has surrendered 332 hits (7.4 hits per nine innings) and has 174 free passes. Glasnow (20-20 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.81 while going up against 1,697 opposing batters during his time in the majors.
The Boston Red Sox have compiled an OBP of .321 and a team batting average of .257 for the season. They have been called out on strikes on 1,343 instances (15th in baseball) and have accounted for 1,395 hits. Boston has 151 home runs so far this year to go along with 686 runs batted in. The Red Sox hold a team slugging % of .409 and they average 4.53 runs per outing (9th in baseball). They have put up 346 two-baggers, while taking a walk 469 times and putting up 716 runs.
The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.359 in addition to having a FIP of 4.14 as a unit this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.56 (1,318 strikeouts vs 515 walks). They come in at 26th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,388. They have surrendered 178 homers and they relinquish 4.98 runs per 9 innings (25th in baseball). The Boston pitching staff have surrendered 775 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 4.57 (711 earned runs relinquished).
Boston has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 66 save opportunities and they have walked away with 37 saves. They are currently ranked 26th in MLB with a save rate of 56.1%, and they have sent 565 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 177 times in high leverage situations in addition to 154 occasions with runners on base. Boston relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 39.6% of 230 inherited runners. Sitting with 150 save situations, the Red Sox have earned 84 holds in addition to 29 blown saves.
In their 12,600 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.1% (26th in pro baseball). The Boston Red Sox have turned 129 double plays and have a fielding rate of .985 (17th in professional baseball). The Red Sox have 1,413 assists, 83 errors and are sitting with 4,200 putouts for the year.
So far in his pro baseball career, Hill has given up 1,062 base hits while he has tallied 1,288 K's in 1,253 frames. He has given up 537 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.231 and a FIP of 4.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.68 and he has gone up against 5,257 opposing batters during his MLB career. Hill (82-59 mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.86 ERA while allowing 7.6 hits per nine innings.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (+115)
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