Arizona Diamondbacks vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 6/5/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Thursday, June 5, 2025

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: FanDuel Sports Network South

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (-128) Atlanta (+106)

The Atlanta Braves (27-32) are welcoming the Arizona Diamondbacks (29-31) at Truist Park on Thursday. The moneyline on this matchup has Arizona at -128 and Atlanta is coming in at +106. The total comes in at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Brandon Pfaadt and Grant Holmes.

As a squad, the Arizona Diamondbacks are scoring 5.1 runs per game, which puts them at 4th in baseball. They are sitting with 304 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .332. The Diamondbacks have tallied 117 doubles as a unit and have knocked 84 balls out of the stadium. They have earned 297 runs batted in as well as 520 base knocks so far this season, while their batting average comes in at .255. Arizona owns a slugging percentage of .448 and have been rung up 446 times, while drawing a walk on 216 occasions.

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The Diamondbacks are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.75 this season (24th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 507 hitters. Diamondbacks pitchers have surrendered 75 home runs and 309 total runs (25th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 199 batters and their FIP comes in at 4.27 as a squad this season. Arizona has allowed 511 hits (8.6 per 9 innings) in addition to 282 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.55 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.33.

The Diamondbacks have sent 185 relievers to the hill so far this season. The relievers have inherited 61 runners for the season and 36.1% of them crossed home plate. They have tallied 18 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 11 of 29 chances to get a save. The Diamondbacks relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 62.1% and have entered the game in 63 save situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 32 holds so far this year (19th in baseball). Diamondbacks bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 49 times in addition to having 57 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Diamondbacks have turned 69.5% of balls in play into outs in their 4,812 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 20th in the majors. The Arizona Diamondbacks have accounted for 1,604 putouts this year, in addition to 546 assists and 31 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .986 which has them ranked 16th in the majors, and have earned 41 double plays.

Pfaadt (21-23 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 4.99 while he has faced 1,450 batters during his time in the major leagues. He has given up 359 hits (9.5 hits per 9 innings) and has had 83 walks. His ERA is 5.07 (191 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.303. Pfaadt has pitched in 339 frames and has totaled 328 strikeouts during his career.

Atlanta has tallied 63 home runs for the season as well as 229 runs batted in. They have hit 82 doubles, while taking a walk 200 times and notching 239 runs. The Atlanta Braves have an on-base percentage of .317 in addition to a team batting average of .245 on the season. The Braves have a team slugging % of .387 and they average 4.05 runs per contest (21st in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 501 occasions (15th in baseball) and have recorded 491 base hits.

The Atlanta pitching staff have conceded 231 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.73 (216 earned runs given up). They have conceded 67 dingers and they allow 3.99 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league). The Braves hold a team WHIP of 1.244 in addition to having a FIP of 4.01 as a staff over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.90 (514 strikeouts vs 192 bases on balls). They come in at 6th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 456.

Atlanta has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 20 save opportunities and they have tallied 10 saves. They are ranked 27th in MLB with a save rate of 50.0%, and they have sent 187 relievers to the mound for the year. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 66 times in high leverage situations and on 63 occasions with base runners. Atlanta bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 30.1% of 83 inherited runners. With 46 save situations, the Braves have 26 holds in addition to 10 blown saves.

The Atlanta Braves have turned 40 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .990 (1st in baseball). The Braves have racked up 521 assists, 22 errors and have earned a total of 1,563 putouts during this campaign. In their 4,689 innings played, the Braves hold a defensive efficiency of 71.0% (10th in pro baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Holmes has allowed 114 hits while earning 134 K's in 132 frames. Holmes (5-5 career win-loss mark) holds a 3.68 earned run average while conceding 7.8 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered a total of 54 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.180 and a FIP of 3.6. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.19 and he has faced 547 opposing hitters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Arizona (-128)

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