Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 7/8/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres

Date: Tuesday, July 8, 2025

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (+125) San Diego (-145)

The San Diego Padres (48-41) are hosting the Arizona Diamondbacks (44-46) at Petco Park on Tuesday. The odds on this game have the Diamondbacks at +125 and the Padres are sitting at -145. The over/under has been set at 9. The men taking the mound are Merrill Kelly and Nick Pivetta.

Arizona has a slugging percentage of .445 and have struck out 707 times, while being walked on 317 occasions. They have accumulated 451 runs batted in and 769 base knocks this year, and their batting average is at .252. The Diamondbacks have tallied 155 doubles as a squad and have knocked 132 balls out of the stadium. They have earned a total of 461 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .327. As a squad, the Arizona Diamondbacks are recording 5.1 runs per game, which puts them at 4th in MLB.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.69 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.33. Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed 118 home runs and also 461 total runs (27th in baseball). Arizona has surrendered 780 base knocks (8.7 per 9 innings) in addition to 421 earned runs. The Diamondbacks have an ERA of 4.72 this season (26th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 776 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 288 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.29 as a team on the campaign.

Diamondbacks relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 76 times as well as having 87 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have 50 holds on the campaign (16th in the league). The Diamondbacks relievers have a save percentage of 60.5% and have entered the game in 96 save situations. They have compiled 26 saves for the year and have blown 17 of their 43 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 98 runners for the year with 34.7% of them crossed the plate. The Diamondbacks have dispatched 281 relievers to the hill for the year.

The Diamondbacks have turned 69.0% of baseballs in play into outs in their 7,230 innings, which has them sitting 21st in baseball. The Arizona Diamondbacks have accounted for 2,410 putouts on the year, in addition to 789 assists and 45 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .986 which has them sitting 16th in professional baseball, and they have turned 69 double plays.

Kelly (60-48 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.73 and he has gone up against 3,816 batters during his time in the major leagues. He has allowed 834 base hits (8.1 hits per 9 innings) and has had 281 free passes. His earned run average is 3.79 (391 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.201. Kelly has pitched in 928 innings and has 847 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career.

The San Diego Padres have recorded an OBP of .316 and a team batting average of .246 on the year. They have struck out on 629 occasions (29th in MLB) and have earned a total of 730 hits. San Diego is sitting with 75 home runs this year and 339 runs batted in. The Padres have a team slugging % of .374 and they earn 4.08 runs per outing (23rd in baseball). They have tallied 129 doubles, while walking 290 times and scoring 363 runs.

The Padres have a team WHIP of 1.233 and have a FIP of 3.84 as a staff for the season. Their K/BB ratio is 8.70 (764 strikeouts against 292 free passes). They rank 4th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 678. They have conceded 88 dingers and they relinquish 4.01 runs per 9 innings (9th in the league). The San Diego pitching staff have allowed 351 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 3.66 (320 earned runs conceded).

San Diego has called on relievers to take the mound in 41 save opportunities and they have come away with 30 saves. They are ranked 3rd in baseball with a save percentage of 73.2%, and they have sent 313 relievers to the mound this year. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 123 times in high leverage situations and on 101 occasions with base runners. San Diego relievers have an inherited score percentage of 34.8% out of 141 inherited runners. Sitting with 102 save situations, the Padres have 60 holds in addition to 11 blown saves.

The San Diego Padres have gotten 62 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .986 (17th in baseball). The Padres have recorded 680 assists, 43 errors and have notched a total of 2,361 putouts during this campaign. In their 7,083 innings on the diamond, the Padres have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 71.0% (7th in professional baseball).

During his career, Pivetta has given up 1,055 base knocks while he has earned 1,246 K's in 1,126 innings. Pivetta (65-73 win-loss record in his career) has a 4.63 earned run average while conceding 8.4 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 579 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.293 and a FIP of 4.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.11 and he has gone up against 4,771 opposing hitters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego (-145)

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