Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 7/9/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres

Date: Wednesday, July 9, 2025

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (+220) San Diego (-275)

The Arizona Diamondbacks (45-46) are hitting the road to Petco Park on Wednesday where they will try to defeat the San Diego Padres (48-42). The line on this contest has Arizona at +220 while San Diego is at -275. The total is set at 8.5. The men taking the mound are Brandon Pfaadt and Dylan Cease.

The Diamondbacks have accrued 158 doubles as a team and have knocked 133 balls out of the park. Arizona has a slugging rate of .446 and have been rung up 716 times, while being walked on 323 occasions. As a unit, the Arizona Diamondbacks are putting up 5.1 runs per game, which has them at 3rd in the league. They have accounted for 457 runs batted in as well as 778 base knocks so far this season, while their batting average sits at .252. They have earned a total of 467 runs while holding a team OBP of .328.

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The Diamondbacks have compiled a team ERA of 4.68 this season (26th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 786 hitters. Diamondbacks pitchers have conceded 119 home runs and 464 runs in total (27th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 293 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.29 as a team over the course of the season. Arizona has relinquished 787 hits (8.7 per 9 innings) as well as 422 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.68 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.33.

The Diamondbacks have dispatched 284 relievers to the hill on the campaign. The relievers have inherited 99 runners for the season and 34.3% of those runners ended up scoring. They have compiled 27 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 17 out of their 44 chances to save the game. The Diamondbacks relievers have recorded a save percentage of 61.4% and have entered the game in 99 save situations. The bullpen have a total of 52 holds so far this year (14th in the league). Diamondbacks bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 77 times and also have had 87 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have accounted for 2,437 putouts thus far, as well as 799 assists and 47 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .986 which has them sitting 19th in the majors, and have a total of 71 double plays. The Diamondbacks have turned 69.0% of balls in play into outs out of 7,311 innings, which has them ranked 21st in pro baseball.

Pfaadt (22-25 career mark) sits with a FIP of 5.08 while he has faced 1,583 hitters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 395 base knocks (9.7 hits per nine innings) with 91 walks. His earned run average is 5.16 (211 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.320. Pfaadt has taken the hill for 368 innings and has accounted for 359 punch outs so far in his MLB career.

The San Diego Padres have an on-base percentage of .316 as well as a team batting average of .246 for the year. They have struck out on 639 occasions (28th in the league) and have 737 base hits. San Diego has recorded 76 home runs on the year to go along with 341 runs batted in. The Padres hold a slugging percentage of .373 and they earn 4.07 runs per contest (23rd in baseball). They have 129 two-baggers, while taking a walk 295 times as well as racking up 366 runs.

The Padres have a WHIP of 1.237 in addition to having a FIP of 3.85 as a team on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.70 (773 strikeouts against 298 walks). They are sitting at 4th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 687. They have yielded 89 home runs and they allow 4.04 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league). The San Diego pitching staff have surrendered 357 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 3.69 (326 earned runs relinquished).

Sitting with 102 save situations, the Padres have recorded 60 holds and 11 blown saves. San Diego has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 41 save chances and they have earned 30 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 123 times in high leverage situations and on 104 occasions with base runners. San Diego bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 34.7% out of their 144 inherited runners. They rank 3rd in MLB with a save percentage of 73.2%, and they have dispatched 317 bullpen pitchers to the hill for the year.

The San Diego Padres have gotten 62 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in pro baseball). The Padres have recorded 690 assists, 43 errors and have earned a total of 2,388 putouts for the year. In 7,164 innings played, the Padres are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (9th in professional baseball).

Cease (60-54 career win-loss mark) has earned a 3.84 earned run average while giving up 7.6 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.88 and he has gone up against 4,001 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career. He has allowed 403 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.260 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. So far in his pro baseball career, Cease has given up 795 hits while he has tallied 1,137 strikeouts in 944 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego (-275)

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