Atlanta Braves vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 8/17/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Sunday, August 17, 2025

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: CLEGuardians.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+102) Cleveland (-122)

The Cleveland Guardians (63-57) are hosting the Atlanta Braves (53-68) at Progressive Field on Sunday. The moneyline on this game has the Braves at +102 and the Guardians are opening at -122. The betting total is set at 9. The starting pitchers are Erick Fedde and Logan Allen.

As a team, the Atlanta Braves are putting up 4.3 runs per contest, which puts them at 19th in the league. They have accounted for 519 runs and have an on-base percentage of .319. The Braves have accrued 179 doubles as a team and have hit 136 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 502 runs batted in as well as 994 base knocks so far this year, while their team batting average is at .242. Atlanta has a slugging percentage of .392 and have been rung up 1,052 times, while drawing a walk on 438 occasions.

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The Braves are sitting with a team ERA of 4.29 this season (23rd in baseball), and their staff has rung up 1,060 hitters. Braves pitchers have given up 141 home runs and 539 total runs (20th in MLB). They have walked 404 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.12 as a team on the campaign. Atlanta has conceded 980 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) as well as 510 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.62 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.29.

The Braves have sent 390 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. The relievers have inherited 165 base runners for the season and 38.2% of them ended up crossing the plate. They have accumulated 20 saves on the year and have not converted 16 out of their 36 chances to save the game. The Braves bullpen have a save percentage of 55.6% and have come into the game in 86 save situations. The bullpen have a total of 50 holds on the campaign (27th in baseball). Braves pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 125 times and also have had 122 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Braves have turned 70.1% of balls in play into outs out of 9,636 innings, which ranks them 14th in MLB. The Athletics have accounted for 3,212 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,045 assists and 41 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .990 which has them ranked 2nd in pro baseball, and they have turned 81 double plays.

Fedde has taken the mound for 747 frames and has racked up 576 K's so far in his pro baseball career. Fedde (34-54 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.84 while he has gone up against 3,249 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 4.91 (408 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.434. He has surrendered 774 base knocks (9.3 hits per nine innings) with 298 walks.

Cleveland has knocked in 128 home runs for the season to go along with 464 RBIs. They have recorded 181 two-baggers, while getting a free base 379 times as well as putting up 483 runs. The Cleveland Guardians have compiled an on-base percentage of .301 and a team batting average of .229 this year. The Guardians hold a team slugging % of .378 and they have an average of 4.03 runs per outing (26th in baseball). They have been rung up on 981 instances (18th in MLB) and have earned 901 hits.

The Guardians have a team WHIP of 1.306 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.12 as a squad so far this year. They are sitting at 8th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 967. The Cleveland pitching staff have conceded 505 runs this year while holding a team ERA of 3.88 (460 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.50 (1,009 strikeouts vs 428 walks). They have given up 130 homers and they relinquish 4.25 runs per 9 innings (14th in the league).

Sitting with 140 save situations, the Guardians have earned 85 holds and 16 blown saves. Cleveland has called on relief pitchers to step onto the hill in 52 save chances and they have tallied 36 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 141 times in high leverage situations and also on 106 occasions with runners on. Cleveland bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 34.5% out of their 148 inherited base runners. They rank 5th in MLB with a save percentage of 69.2%, and they have dispatched 402 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the season.

Out of their 9,618 innings played, the Guardians have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (17th in the majors). The Cleveland Guardians have turned 88 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in MLB). The Guardians have 981 assists, 81 errors and have earned a total of 3,206 putouts on the campaign.

Allen (22-22 mark in his career) is the owner of a 4.42 ERA while allowing 9.4 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.12 and he has faced 1,479 opposing hitters during his career. He has conceded a total of 167 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.448 and a FIP of 4.3. During his pro baseball career, Allen has conceded 356 base hits and he has 290 strikeouts in 340 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cleveland (-122)

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