Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, 8/12/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

Date: Tuesday, August 12, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+172) New York (-210)

The Atlanta Braves (51-67) are traveling to Citi Field on Tuesday where they will take on the New York Mets (63-55). The moneyline on this contest has Atlanta at +172 and New York is priced at -210. The over/under has been set at 9. The starting pitchers are Spencer Strider and Clay Holmes.

As a squad, the Atlanta Braves are notching 4.2 runs per outing, which has them at 21st in the league. They have tallied 499 runs and have an OBP of .318. The Braves have tallied 173 doubles as a unit and have smacked 133 baseballs out of the park. They have amassed 482 RBI's in addition to 969 base knocks on the campaign, and their average at the plate comes in at .242. Atlanta has a slugging percentage of .392 and have been rung up 1,025 times, while being walked on 423 occasions.

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The Braves are sitting with a team ERA of 4.21 this season (21st in MLB), and they have rung up 1,039 batters. Braves pitchers have given up 133 home runs in addition to 517 runs in total (18th in baseball). They have walked 393 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.05 as a team this season. Atlanta has allowed 946 base knocks (8.2 per 9 innings) and 489 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.64 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.28.

The Braves have dispatched 381 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 163 runners this season and 38.7% of them crossed the plate. They have accumulated 19 saves over the course of the season and have blown 16 of their 35 chances to save the game. The Braves bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 54.3% and have come into the game in 83 save situations. The relievers have 48 holds for the season (27th in the league). Braves pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 123 times as well as having 120 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Braves have turned 70.2% of baseballs in play into outs out of 9,402 innings on the diamond, ranking them 12th in pro baseball. The Athletics have accounted for 3,134 putouts for the season, in addition to 1,016 assists and 40 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .990 which puts them in 2nd in pro baseball, and they have turned 77 double plays.

Strider has thrown 411 innings and has 593 strikeouts thus far in his career. His earned run average is 3.59 (164 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.118. He has surrendered 318 base hits (7.0 hits per nine innings) and has had 142 free passes. Strider (37-19 career mark) sits with a FIP of 3.53 while he has faced 1,692 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

New York has 147 long balls on the campaign to go along with 498 RBIs. They have 184 doubles, while getting a free base 408 times and putting up 513 runs. The New York Mets have a team on-base percentage of .318 in addition to a team batting average of .239 this season. The Mets have a team slugging % of .406 and they are scoring 4.35 runs per outing (16th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 949 instances (19th in baseball) and have notched a total of 938 base knocks.

The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.310 and have a FIP of 3.90 as a squad this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.60 (1,003 strikeouts against 420 bases on balls). They rank 12th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 950. They have relinquished 108 dingers and they allow 4.16 runs per 9 innings (9th in baseball). The New York pitching staff have allowed 483 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 3.70 (430 earned runs relinquished).

Sitting with 132 save situations, the Mets have earned 78 holds in addition to 20 blown saves. New York has had relievers enter the game in 54 save opportunities and they have walked away with 34 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 148 times in high leverage situations in addition to 127 occasions with base runners. New York relievers hold an inherited score rate of 34.0% out of their 188 inherited base runners. They sit at 15th in MLB holding a save percentage of 63.0%, and they have sent 390 bullpen pitchers onto the field for the year.

The New York Mets have gotten 87 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (14th in professional baseball). The Mets have recorded 1,068 assists, 57 errors and have earned a total of 3,138 putouts on the season. Out of their 9,414 innings played, the Mets have a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (17th in pro baseball).

Holmes (33-28 mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.65 earned run average and has surrendered 7.8 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.29 and he has faced 1,980 hitters in his career. He has allowed 186 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.302 and a FIP of 3.6. So far in his MLB career, Holmes has conceded 398 base knocks and he has 457 K's in 459 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta (+172)

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