Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, 8/14/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

Date: Thursday, August 14, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+220) New York (-275)

The Atlanta Braves (51-68) are en route to Citi Field on Thursday where they will meet the New York Mets (64-55). The moneyline on this game has Atlanta at +220 and New York is sitting at -275. The total is set at 8. The men taking the mound will be Bryce Elder and Kodai Senga.

As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are earning 4.2 runs per game, which has them at 21st in the league. They have a total of 499 runs while having a team OBP of .318. The Braves have hit 173 doubles as a team and have knocked 133 balls out of the stadium. They have compiled 482 RBI's as well as 969 base knocks over the course of the season, and their average at the plate sits at .242. Atlanta is slugging .392 and have been rung up 1,025 times, while taking a walk on 423 occasions.

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The Braves have compiled a team earned run average of 4.21 so far this year (21st in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,039 hitters. Braves pitchers have given up 133 home runs and 517 runs in total (17th in baseball). They have walked 393 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.04 as a squad on the campaign. Atlanta has yielded 946 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 489 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.64 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.28.

The Braves relievers have recorded a save rate of 54.3% and have entered the game in 83 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 163 runners on the campaign and 38.7% of those runners ended up scoring. Braves bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 123 times and also have had 120 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have dispatched 381 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. The bullpen have tallied 48 holds on the season (27th in baseball). They have tallied 19 saves for the season and have blown 16 of their 35 save opportunities.

The Athletics have accumulated 3,134 putouts thus far, as well as 1,016 assists and 40 errors. Their fielding rate is at .990 which ranks 2nd in the majors, and they have turned 77 double plays. The Braves have converted 70.2% of baseballs in play into outs in their 9,402 innings, which has them sitting 13th in the majors.

Elder has taken the mound for 378 innings and is sitting with 302 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. His ERA is 4.69 (197 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.394. He has surrendered 385 hits (9.2 hits per 9 innings) with 142 free passes. Elder (20-22 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.62 while he has faced 1,637 hitters in the majors.

The Mets hold a team slugging percentage of .406 and they tally 4.35 runs per contest (16th in MLB). They have put up 184 doubles, while taking a walk 408 times as well as scoring 513 runs. New York has a total of 147 home runs on the campaign and 498 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 949 occasions (20th in the league) and have 938 base hits. The New York Mets have earned a team on-base percentage of .318 in addition to a team batting average of .239 for the season.

The New York pitching staff have surrendered 483 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 3.70 (430 earned runs surrendered). They have given up 108 long balls and they surrender 4.16 runs per 9 innings (8th in baseball). The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.310 and have a FIP of 3.90 as a squad for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.60 (1,003 strikeouts against 420 walks). They rank 11th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 950.

New York has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 54 save chances and they have walked away with 34 saves. They rank 15th in the league holding a save percentage of 63.0%, and they have sent 390 relief pitchers onto the field on the campaign. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 148 times in high leverage situations and on 127 occasions with base runners. New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.0% out of their 188 inherited runners. Sitting with 132 save situations, the Mets have earned 78 holds and also 20 blown saves.

The New York Mets have turned 87 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .987 (14th in baseball). The Mets have accrued 1,068 assists, 57 errors and have accounted for 3,138 putouts so far this year. In 9,414 innings played, the Mets hold a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (17th in professional baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Senga has surrendered 198 hits while he has tallied 299 strikeouts in 265 innings. Senga (20-11 career record) holds a 2.75 ERA and has allowed 6.7 hits per nine innings. He has conceded 81 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.218 and a FIP of 2.7. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.39 and he has faced 1,105 opposing batters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta (+220)

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