Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 8/29/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Friday, August 29, 2025

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+110) Philadelphia (-132)

The Atlanta Braves (61-72) are headed to Citizens Bank Park on Friday where they will compete against the Philadelphia Phillies (76-57). The moneyline on this matchup has the Braves at +110 and the Phillies are sitting at -132. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Bryce Elder and Ranger Suarez.

Atlanta has a slugging percentage of .396 and have struck out 1,151 times, while taking a walk on 483 occasions. They have compiled 574 RBI's and 1,105 hits for the year, and their average at the plate is sitting at .244. The Braves have tallied 202 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 152 baseballs out of the park. They have earned a total of 594 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .321. As a team, the Atlanta Braves are compiling 4.5 runs per game, which ranks them 14th in baseball.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.57 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.30. Braves pitchers have yielded 156 home runs and also 596 runs in total (19th in the league). Atlanta has surrendered 1,091 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and also 566 earned runs. The Braves are sitting with a team ERA of 4.33 so far this season (22nd in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,141 hitters. They have walked 444 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.18 as a team for the year.

Braves relief pitchers have entered the game with players on base 134 times as well as having 138 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have 56 holds on the campaign (26th in the league). The Braves relievers have recorded a save percentage of 60.5% and have entered the game in 99 save situations. They have earned 26 saves on the campaign and have blown 17 out of their 43 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 177 base runners for the year and 37.9% of them crossed home plate. The Braves have sent 424 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Braves have converted 70.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of 10,599 innings, which ranks them 15th in the majors. The Athletics have earned 3,533 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,145 assists and 47 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .990 which ranks 2nd in pro baseball, and have a total of 92 double plays.

Elder has taken the hill for 395 innings and has tallied 317 strikeouts during his career. Elder (21-22 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.69 and he has faced 1,711 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.76 (209 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.391. He has allowed 402 hits (9.2 hits per 9 innings) with 148 walks.

The Phillies have a team slugging % of .420 and they average 4.70 runs per game (9th in the league). They have tallied 220 doubles, while walking 434 times and racking up 625 runs. Philadelphia has recorded 161 long balls this year to go along with 600 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,069 occasions (20th in baseball) and have 1,160 base hits. The Philadelphia Phillies have accounted for a team OBP of .326 as well as a batting average of .256 on the season.

The Phillies are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.243 with a FIP of 3.66 as a unit for the season. They sit at 20th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,107. The Philadelphia pitching staff have conceded 541 runs for the season while having an ERA of 3.85 (505 earned runs surrendered). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.30 (1,224 strikeouts against 359 bases on balls). They have relinquished 144 long balls and they concede 4.13 runs per 9 innings (6th in baseball).

Philadelphia has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 56 save chances and they have earned 36 saves. They rank 8th in baseball with a save percentage of 64.3%, and they have sent 413 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the campaign. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 137 times in high leverage situations and on 89 occasions with runners on. Philadelphia relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 33.6% out of their 131 inherited runners. With 123 save situations, the Phillies have amassed 65 holds and also 20 blown saves.

The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 82 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .989 (3rd in pro baseball). The Phillies have accrued 1,138 assists, 51 errors and have 3,538 putouts so far this season. In their 10,614 innings on the diamond, the Phillies have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (25th in baseball).

Thus far in his career, Suarez has surrendered 687 hits while tallying 676 K's in 730 innings. He has allowed 273 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.257 and having a FIP of 3.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.93 and he has faced 3,060 batters in his career. Suarez (51-35 career record) has a 3.36 ERA while allowing 8.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta (+110)

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