Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 8/30/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Saturday, August 30, 2025

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+150) Philadelphia (-182)

The Atlanta Braves (61-72) are traveling to Citizens Bank Park on Saturday where they will try to beat the Philadelphia Phillies (76-57). The moneyline on this contest has Atlanta at +150 and Philadelphia is priced at -182. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Chris Sale and Cristopher Sanchez.

Atlanta is slugging .396 and have struck out 1,151 times, while taking a walk on 483 occasions. They have earned 574 runs batted in and 1,105 hits this year, and their batting average sits at .244. The Braves have hit 202 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 152 balls out of the park. They have 594 runs scored while having a team OBP of .321. As a squad, the Atlanta Braves are scoring 4.5 runs per game, which ranks them 14th in the league.

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The Braves are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.33 for the season (22nd in the league), and they have rung up 1,141 hitters. Braves pitchers have conceded 156 home runs and also 596 runs in total (19th in the league). They have walked 444 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.18 as a team on the season. Atlanta has allowed 1,091 base knocks (8.3 per 9 innings) and 566 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.57 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.30.

Braves pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 134 times in addition to having 138 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 56 holds so far this year (26th in MLB). The Braves bullpen have a save rate of 60.5% and stepped onto the hill in 99 save situations. They have recorded 26 saves this season and have blown 17 of their 43 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 177 base runners for the year and 37.9% of those players earned a run for their team. The Braves have sent 424 relievers to the hill this season.

The Braves have converted 70.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 10,599 innings on the field, ranking them 15th in professional baseball. The Athletics have 3,533 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,145 assists and 47 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .990 which puts them in 2nd in pro baseball, and have accumulated 92 double plays.

Sale has taken the mound for 2,047 innings and has earned 2,528 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.02 (686 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.050. He has given up 1,668 hits (7.3 hits per 9 innings) and has had 481 walks. Sale (143-87 career mark) holds a FIP of 2.97 while going up against 8,249 opposing hitters in the majors.

The Phillies have a slugging percentage of .420 and they tally 4.70 runs per contest (9th in the league). They have notched 220 doubles, while getting a free base 434 times and recording 625 runs. Philadelphia has compiled 161 home runs on the year and 600 RBIs. They have been rung up on 1,069 occasions (20th in the league) and have totaled 1,160 base knocks. The Philadelphia Phillies have recorded a team on-base percentage of .326 in addition to a team batting average of .256 over the course of the season.

The Phillies are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.243 in addition to having a FIP of 3.66 as a pitching staff on the campaign. They come in at 20th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,107. The Philadelphia pitching staff have allowed 541 runs this season while holding an ERA of 3.85 (505 earned runs conceded). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.30 (1,224 strikeouts against 359 free passes). They have allowed 144 HR's and they allow 4.13 runs per 9 innings (6th in baseball).

Sitting with 123 save situations, the Phillies have accrued 65 holds in addition to 20 blown saves. Philadelphia has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 56 save chances and they have tallied 36 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 137 times in high leverage situations and on 89 occasions with base runners. Philadelphia relievers hold an inherited score rate of 33.6% out of their 131 inherited runners. They rank 8th in baseball holding a save rate of 64.3%, and they have sent 413 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the year.

The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 82 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .989 (3rd in the majors). The Phillies have 1,138 assists, 51 errors and have a tally of 3,538 putouts over the course of the season. In 10,614 innings on the diamond, the Phillies are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 68.8% (25th in the majors).

During his MLB career, Sanchez has conceded 466 base hits while he has accumulated 470 K's in 495 innings pitched. He has allowed 185 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.193 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.3. His K/BB ratio is 3.76 and he has gone up against 2,049 opposing batters during his MLB career. Sanchez (28-21 career record) has a 3.36 earned run average while allowing 8.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta (+150)

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