Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 8/31/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Sunday, August 31, 2025

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+172) Philadelphia (-210)

The Atlanta Braves (61-73) are headed to Citizens Bank Park on Sunday where they will go up against the Philadelphia Phillies (77-57). The moneyline on this game has the Braves at +172 while the Phillies are at -210. The total has been set at 9. The men taking the mound will be Hurston Waldrep and Jesus Luzardo.

As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are putting up 4.5 runs per contest, which ranks them 14th in the league. They have tallied 598 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .321. The Braves have compiled 202 doubles as a team and have knocked 153 balls out of the stadium. They have accumulated 578 RBI's and 1,111 base knocks this year, and their batting average is at .244. Atlanta has a slugging rate of .395 and have struck out 1,157 times, while drawing a walk on 486 occasions.

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The Braves have an ERA of 4.44 this year (22nd in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,144 hitters. Braves pitchers have surrendered 163 home runs and 615 runs in total (21st in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 448 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.26 as a unit so far this year. Atlanta has conceded 1,111 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) in addition to 585 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.55 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.32.

The Braves have dispatched 427 relievers to the hill this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 181 runners for the season with 38.1% of those runners crossed the plate. They have 26 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 17 of 43 chances to get a save. The Braves relievers have a save percentage of 60.5% and stepped onto the hill in 99 save situations. The bullpen have tallied 56 holds for the season (26th in baseball). Braves relief pitchers have entered the game with players on base 137 times as well as having 138 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Athletics have earned 3,533 putouts this season, in addition to 1,145 assists and 47 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .990 which puts them in 2nd in professional baseball, and have a total of 92 double plays. The Braves have converted 70.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 10,599 innings, which ranks them 15th in baseball.

Waldrep has thrown 37 innings and has tallied 27 K's in his pro baseball career. Waldrep (4-1 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.83 and he has gone up against 149 opposing batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 3.89 (16 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.216. He has conceded 30 base knocks (7.3 hits per nine innings) with 15 free passes.

The Phillies hold a slugging percentage of .426 and they score 4.81 runs per game (9th in MLB). They have hit 223 doubles, while taking a walk 438 times and putting up 644 runs. Philadelphia has knocked in 168 home runs so far this year as well as 619 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,072 instances (21st in MLB) and have tallied 1,180 hits. The Philadelphia Phillies are sitting with an on-base percentage of .328 in addition to a batting average of .258 over the course of the season.

The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.241 and have a FIP of 3.67 as a pitching staff for the year. They come in at 20th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,113. The Philadelphia pitching staff have given up 545 runs this season while holding an ERA of 3.86 (509 earned runs surrendered). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.30 (1,230 strikeouts vs 362 bases on balls). They have allowed 145 long balls and they relinquish 4.13 runs per 9 innings (6th in baseball).

With 123 save situations, the Phillies have compiled 65 holds and 20 blown saves. Philadelphia has had relief pitchers enter the game in 56 save chances and they have converted 36 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 137 times in high leverage situations and on 89 occasions with runners on. Philadelphia bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 33.6% out of 131 inherited runners. They are ranked 9th in MLB with a save rate of 64.3%, and they have sent 415 relief pitchers to the hill for the year.

The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 82 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .989 (3rd in baseball). The Phillies have accrued 1,138 assists, 51 errors and have accumulated 3,538 putouts so far this season. In 10,614 innings played, the Phillies have a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (25th in MLB).

In his MLB career, Luzardo has conceded 607 base knocks and he has 734 K's in 661 innings pitched. Luzardo (38-40 career record) is the owner of a 4.28 ERA and has given up 8.3 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed a total of 314 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.268 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.2. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.18 and he has gone up against 2,776 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta (+172)

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