Atlanta Braves vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 7/11/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Friday, July 11, 2025

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Midwest

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+172) St. Louis (-210)

The Atlanta Braves (39-50) are on their way to Busch Stadium on Friday where they will play the St. Louis Cardinals (48-43). The moneyline on this game has the Braves at +172 while the Cardinals are sitting at -210. The total is 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Grant Holmes and Matthew Liberatore.

The Braves have accounted for 123 doubles as a squad and have hit 92 baseballs out of the park. Atlanta has a slugging rate of .381 and have struck out 771 times, while taking a walk on 308 occasions. As a team, the Atlanta Braves are compiling 4.0 runs/g, which puts them at 24th in MLB. They have compiled 344 runs batted in in addition to 731 hits so far this season, while their batting average is sitting at .243. They have racked up 357 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .317.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.84 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.24. Braves pitchers have relinquished 99 home runs in addition to 353 runs (6th in the league). Atlanta has yielded 685 base hits (7.8 per 9 innings) in addition to 330 earned runs. The Braves have a team earned run average of 3.77 for the year (11th in the league), and their staff has rung up 819 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 288 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.88 as a team so far this season.

The Braves relievers have recorded a save rate of 50.0% and have entered the game in 56 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 123 base runners for the season with 34.1% of those runners crossed the plate. Braves relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 91 times in addition to having 85 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have dispatched 277 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. The bullpen are sitting with 32 holds for the year (30th in the league). They have accumulated 12 saves on the year and have not converted 12 of 24 chances to save the game.

The Braves have transformed 70.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 7,086 innings on the field, ranking them 13th in professional baseball. The Athletics are sitting with 2,362 putouts this season, as well as 776 assists and 32 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .990 which puts them in 2nd in the majors, and have 62 double plays.

Holmes has thrown 170 innings and is sitting with 188 punch outs so far in his career. Holmes (6-9 career mark) holds a FIP of 3.44 while he has faced 706 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.49 (66 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.217. He has given up 144 base knocks (7.6 hits per nine innings) and has 63 free passes.

St. Louis has 91 HRs on the season to go along with 394 runs batted in. They have put up 154 doubles, while walking 284 times as well as earning 414 runs. The St. Louis Cardinals hold an OBP of .321 and a batting average of .251 on the season. The Cardinals hold a team slugging % of .392 and they are scoring 4.55 runs per contest (12th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 708 occasions (24th in the league) and have totaled 776 hits.

The Cardinals have a WHIP of 1.274 in addition to having a FIP of 3.83 as a staff so far this year. They are sitting at 23rd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 776. The St. Louis pitching staff have allowed 399 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 4.09 (366 earned runs relinquished). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 7.40 (660 strikeouts vs 251 bases on balls). They have conceded 84 home runs and they allow 4.45 runs per 9 innings (18th in MLB).

St. Louis bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 36.4% out of 121 inherited runners. Their relievers have taken the field 98 times in high leverage situations and on 89 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 89 save situations, the Cardinals have compiled 51 holds and also 13 blown saves. They rank 13th in baseball holding a save rate of 62.9%, and they have dispatched 271 relievers onto the field on the year. St. Louis has had relief pitchers take the mound in 35 save chances and they have converted 22 saves.

The St. Louis Cardinals have turned 64 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .990 (3rd in pro baseball). The Cardinals have recorded 879 assists, 34 errors and are sitting with 2,420 putouts this season. In their 7,260 innings on the field, the Cardinals are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.1% (15th in pro baseball).

In his MLB career, Liberatore has conceded 283 base hits while he has earned 230 K's in 279 innings pitched. He has allowed 141 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.343 and a FIP of 4.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.50 and he has gone up against 1,198 hitters in his career. Liberatore (14-18 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 4.55 earned run average while allowing 9.1 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (+172)

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