Baltimore Orioles vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 7/6/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Sunday, July 6, 2025

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: FanDuel Sports Network South

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+125) Atlanta (-145)

The Atlanta Braves (39-46) host the Baltimore Orioles (37-49) at Truist Park on Sunday. The moneyline on this game has the Orioles at +125 and the Braves are coming in at -145. The total is 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Trevor Rogers and Grant Holmes.

The Orioles have tallied 133 doubles as a team and have knocked 101 balls out of the stadium. Baltimore is slugging .399 and have been rung up 756 times, while being walked on 242 occasions. As a unit, the Baltimore Orioles are putting up 4.2 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 20th in baseball. They have accounted for 336 runs batted in in addition to 692 hits over the course of the season, while their average at the plate is sitting at .240. They have 357 runs scored and hold an OBP of .306.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.52 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.43. Orioles pitchers have allowed 119 home runs and 444 runs in total (27th in baseball). Baltimore has relinquished 801 base hits (9.6 per 9 innings) in addition to 420 earned runs. The Orioles have a team ERA of 5.01 this year (27th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 705 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 280 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.49 as a unit for the season.

The Orioles relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 61.3% and have stepped onto the mound in 98 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 133 base runners over the course of the season with 18.8% of those runners crossed the plate. Orioles relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 99 times in addition to having 85 appearances in high leverage situations. The Orioles have dispatched 304 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. The relievers are sitting with 64 holds on the year (2nd in the league). They have tallied 19 saves over the course of the season and have blown 12 of 31 chances to save the game.

The Orioles have turned 67.2% of balls hit into play into outs in their 6,789 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 29th in pro baseball. The Atlanta Braves have earned 2,263 putouts thus far, as well as 749 assists and 48 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .984 which puts them in 24th in professional baseball, and have a total of 61 double plays.

Rogers (16-34 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.19 while he has gone up against 1,884 batters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 424 hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 172 walks. His ERA is 4.25 (204 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.379. Rogers has thrown 432 innings and is sitting with 436 K's in his pro baseball career.

The Atlanta Braves have earned a team on-base percentage of .319 and a batting average of .244 on the campaign. They have struck out on 731 occasions (12th in baseball) and have 703 base knocks. Atlanta has 87 HRs this year to go along with 334 runs batted in. The Braves have a team slugging percentage of .382 and they have an average of 4.08 runs per game (24th in the league). They have tallied 117 doubles, while walking 299 times and scoring 347 runs.

The Braves have a WHIP of 1.236 in addition to having a FIP of 3.83 as a staff this season. They are currently ranked 4th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 653. The Atlanta pitching staff have given up 334 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 3.74 (312 earned runs yielded). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.30 (775 strikeouts against 274 walks). They have allowed 91 home runs and they surrender 4.01 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB).

Atlanta relievers hold an inherited score rate of 35.0% out of their 120 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 81 times in high leverage situations and on 87 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 56 save situations, the Braves have accrued 32 holds and 12 blown saves. They rank 28th in baseball with a save rate of 50.0%, and they have sent 263 relievers onto the field on the season. Atlanta has called on relief pitchers to enter the game in 24 save chances and they have earned 12 saves.

In their 6,753 innings played, the Braves hold a defensive efficiency of 70.4% (14th in MLB). The Atlanta Braves have gotten 59 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .989 (5th in pro baseball). The Braves have racked up 740 assists, 32 errors and have earned a total of 2,251 putouts on the campaign.

Thus far in his career, Holmes has allowed 140 base hits while accumulating 183 K's in 164 innings. Holmes (6-8 career record) holds a 3.51 earned run average while allowing 7.7 hits per nine innings. He has given up 64 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.219 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. His K/BB ratio is 3.05 and he has gone up against 683 opposing hitters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Baltimore (+125)

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