Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 5/25/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Sunday, May 25, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+102) Boston (-122)

The Boston Red Sox (25-26) welcome the Baltimore Orioles (16-32) at Fenway Park on Sunday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Orioles at +102 while the Red Sox are coming in at -122. The over/under comes in at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Dean Kremer and Walker Buehler.

As a unit, the Baltimore Orioles are recording 3.8 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 25th in MLB. They are sitting with 183 runs scored and have an OBP of .299. The Orioles have hit 66 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 56 baseballs out of the stadium. They have amassed 174 runs batted in as well as 371 base knocks for the season, while their team batting average is .232. Baltimore has a slugging % of .387 and have been rung up 430 times, while drawing a walk on 134 occasions.

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The Orioles have an earned run average of 5.45 on the campaign (28th in the league), and their staff has struck out 365 hitters. Orioles pitchers have surrendered 76 home runs and also 268 total runs (27th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 169 batters and their FIP is 5.02 as a unit so far this year. Baltimore has allowed 448 base hits (9.6 per 9 innings) and 253 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.16 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.48.

The Orioles have dispatched 167 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 73 runners on the year and 24.7% of those runners crossed the plate. They have accumulated 7 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 5 out of their 12 save opportunities. The Orioles relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 58.3% and have come into the game in 42 save situations. The bullpen have recorded 27 holds so far this season (17th in MLB). Orioles bullpen pitchers have entered the game with players on base 58 times as well as having 39 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Atlanta Braves are sitting with 1,254 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 438 assists and 27 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .984 which puts them in 20th in the majors, and have earned 34 double plays. The Orioles have converted 68.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of 3,762 innings, which has them ranked 23rd in the majors.

Kremer has taken the ball for 555 innings and has totaled 476 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.41 (272 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.326. He has surrendered 544 base hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) and has 192 walks. Kremer (33-35 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 4.34 while he has faced 2,370 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Boston Red Sox have earned an on-base percentage of .324 as well as a team batting average of .252 so far this season. They have struck out on 465 instances (3rd in MLB) and have accounted for 444 base hits. Boston has knocked in 62 home runs on the season as well as 230 RBIs. The Red Sox have a SLG% of .419 and they average 4.71 runs per contest (8th in baseball). They have 93 doubles, while walking 170 times and putting up 240 runs.

The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.336 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.84 as a pitching staff on the campaign. They are sitting at 26th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 450. The Boston pitching staff have given up 232 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 4.04 (205 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.30 (421 strikeouts against 161 bases on balls). They have surrendered 49 homers and they concede 4.57 runs per 9 innings (22nd in baseball).

Boston relievers have an inherited score percentage of 34.3% of 67 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 61 times in high leverage situations and also on 48 occasions with base runners. With 42 save situations, the Red Sox have tallied 18 holds in addition to 11 blown saves. They are currently ranked 26th in the league holding a save rate of 52.2%, and they have dispatched 161 relievers to the hill so far this year. Boston has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 23 save opportunities and they have earned 12 saves.

In their 4,119 innings on the field, the Red Sox hold a defensive efficiency of 67.3% (28th in pro baseball). The Boston Red Sox have gotten 47 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .979 (28th in MLB). The Red Sox have accrued 470 assists, 40 errors and have accounted for 1,373 putouts during this campaign.

In his MLB career, Buehler has allowed 620 hits while he has accumulated 787 K's in 749 frames. Buehler (51-23 career win-loss record) holds a 3.30 earned run average and has allowed 7.4 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 275 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.096 and having a FIP of 3.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.92 and he has faced 3,053 opposing batters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Boston (-122)

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