Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 8/18/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Monday, August 18, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+132) Boston (-160)

The Baltimore Orioles (55-66) are en route to Fenway Park on Monday where they will take on the Boston Red Sox (66-56). The moneyline on this matchup has Baltimore at +132 while Boston is priced at -160. The betting total comes in at 9. The starting pitchers will be Trevor Rogers and Dustin May.

Baltimore owns a slugging percentage of .403 and have struck out 1,042 times, while taking a walk on 331 occasions. They have accumulated 485 RBI's in addition to 963 hits for the year, while their batting average is at .239. The Orioles have tallied 197 doubles as a squad and have hit 145 baseballs out of the park. They are sitting with 514 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .304. As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles are putting up 4.3 runs per game, which ranks them 21st in the league.

Get all of our MLB Expert Picks

Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.52 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.40. Orioles pitchers have surrendered 165 home runs and 600 runs in total (26th in the league). Baltimore has surrendered 1,093 base hits (9.3 per 9 innings) as well as 565 earned runs. The Orioles have an earned run average of 4.79 on the season (27th in the league), and the staff has struck out 988 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 392 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.49 as a squad so far this season.

The Orioles have sent 409 relievers to the hill on the campaign. The relievers have inherited 163 runners on the campaign with 23.3% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. They have recorded 29 saves so far this season and have blown 16 of their 45 chances to get a save. The Orioles bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 64.4% and have entered the game in 131 save situations. The bullpen have a total of 83 holds over the course of the season (4th in baseball). Orioles bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 120 times in addition to having 123 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Atlanta Braves have earned 3,187 putouts for the season, as well as 1,050 assists and 61 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which puts them in 19th in baseball, and they have turned 86 double plays. The Orioles have converted 68.1% of baseballs in play into outs in their 9,561 innings on the field, ranking them 28th in the majors.

Rogers (20-36 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 3.88 while going up against 2,060 hitters in the majors. He has surrendered 452 base knocks (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has 181 walks. His earned run average is 3.94 (210 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.321. Rogers has thrown 479 frames and is sitting with 478 punch outs thus far in his career.

The Red Sox hold a slugging percentage of .430 and they tally 5.03 runs per contest (5th in baseball). They have 250 doubles, while getting a free base 397 times and notching 614 runs. Boston has knocked in 149 HRs this year as well as 588 RBIs. They have struck out on 1,087 occasions (3rd in MLB) and have a total of 1,065 hits. The Boston Red Sox hold a team OBP of .325 as well as a batting average of .254 on the season.

The Red Sox are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.302 and have a FIP of 4.02 as a pitching staff for the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.20 (1,000 strikeouts against 407 walks). They come in at 21st in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,013. They have surrendered 123 dingers and they relinquish 4.30 runs per 9 innings (15th in the league). The Boston pitching staff have surrendered 521 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 3.75 (454 earned runs allowed).

With 120 save situations, the Red Sox have recorded 64 holds and also 22 blown saves. Boston has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 54 save chances and they have recorded 32 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 146 times in high leverage situations and on 121 occasions with runners on. Boston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 30.7% out of 163 inherited base runners. They sit at 22nd in the league holding a save rate of 59.3%, and they have dispatched 397 relievers to the mound on the campaign.

In their 9,819 innings played, the Red Sox have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (25th in MLB). The Boston Red Sox have turned 101 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .979 (30th in baseball). The Red Sox have accrued 1,117 assists, 96 errors and have a total of 3,273 putouts so far this year.

May (19-17 career win-loss mark) has a 3.70 ERA while conceding 7.5 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.77 and he has gone up against 1,267 batters thus far in his career. He has allowed 125 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.163 and a FIP of 3.6. So far in his pro baseball career, May has allowed 252 base knocks while tallying 283 K's in 304 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Baltimore (+132)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here