Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 8/19/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Tuesday, August 19, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+172) Boston (-210)

The Boston Red Sox (68-57) will try to defeat the Baltimore Orioles (57-67) at Fenway Park on Tuesday. The line on this contest has the Orioles at +172 and the Red Sox are coming in at -210. The betting total comes in at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Tomoyuki Sugano and Walker Buehler.

The Orioles have tallied 200 doubles as a team and have hit 150 balls out of the park. Baltimore has a slugging % of .404 and have struck out 1,067 times, while being walked on 339 occasions. As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles are compiling 4.3 runs per game, which ranks them 16th in MLB. They have compiled 507 runs batted in as well as 997 hits on the campaign, and their average at the plate is sitting at .240. They have notched a total of 537 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .305.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.54 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.38. Orioles pitchers have surrendered 166 long balls in addition to 605 runs (25th in the league). Baltimore has given up 1,108 base hits (9.1 per 9 innings) and also 569 earned runs. The Orioles hold a team earned run average of 4.69 this year (26th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,023 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 402 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.43 as a team over the course of the season.

The Orioles have sent 418 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The relievers have inherited 163 runners on the year with 23.3% of them crossed home plate. They have 29 saves on the campaign and have not converted 16 of their 45 chances to save the game. The Orioles relievers have a save percentage of 64.4% and have entered the game in 131 save situations. The bullpen have 83 holds so far this season (5th in the league). Orioles bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 122 times as well as having 127 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Orioles have converted 68.3% of balls in play into outs in their 9,828 innings, which has them ranked 28th in pro baseball. The Atlanta Braves have a total of 3,276 putouts for the season, as well as 1,079 assists and 62 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which has them ranked 19th in pro baseball, and have earned 88 double plays.

Sugano has thrown 126 innings and has accounted for 82 punch outs in his career. His ERA is 4.14 (58 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.285. He has allowed 130 base hits (9.3 hits per nine innings) and has 32 walks. Sugano (10-5 career mark) holds a FIP of 4.08 and he has faced 538 opposing batters in the major leagues.

The Boston Red Sox have compiled an on-base percentage of .324 and a batting average of .253 over the course of the season. They have struck out on 1,108 occasions (5th in the league) and have tallied 1,084 hits. Boston has hit 151 long balls for the year to go along with 600 runs batted in. The Red Sox hold a team slugging percentage of .428 and they average 5.01 runs per game (4th in baseball). They have 255 doubles, while getting a free base 405 times as well as scoring 626 runs.

The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.294 with a FIP of 4.04 as a pitching staff on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.20 (1,018 strikeouts against 409 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 21st in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,038. They have allowed 128 homers and they allow 4.28 runs per 9 innings (14th in baseball). The Boston pitching staff have yielded 532 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 3.74 (465 earned runs relinquished).

Boston relievers hold an inherited score rate of 30.2% out of their 169 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 150 times in high leverage situations and on 126 occasions with runners on base. With 123 save situations, the Red Sox have accumulated 65 holds and also 23 blown saves. They rank 22nd in baseball holding a save rate of 58.9%, and they have dispatched 407 relievers to the mound so far this season. Boston has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 56 save opportunities and they have walked away with 33 saves.

The Boston Red Sox have gotten 103 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .979 (29th in pro baseball). The Red Sox have 1,155 assists, 97 errors and are sitting with 3,354 putouts for the year. In 10,062 innings played, the Red Sox hold a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (23rd in professional baseball).

Thus far in his career, Buehler has given up 702 hits and he has 832 strikeouts in 819 frames. Buehler (54-29 career record) has earned a 3.55 ERA while conceding 7.7 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded a total of 323 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.150 and a FIP of 3.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.47 and he has gone up against 3,380 hitters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Baltimore (+172)

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