Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 8/1/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Friday, August 1, 2025

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+150) Chicago (-182)

Wrigley Field is where the Chicago Cubs (63-45) will meet the Baltimore Orioles (50-59) on Friday. The line on this contest has Baltimore at +150 while Chicago is opening at -182. The betting total is set at 9. The pitchers expected to start will be Trevor Rogers and Cade Horton.

The Orioles have accrued 182 doubles as a team and have hit 136 baseballs out of the park. Baltimore has a slugging % of .413 and have been called out on strikes 936 times, while taking a walk on 299 occasions. As a unit, the Baltimore Orioles are compiling 4.4 runs per contest, which ranks them 13th in baseball. They have accumulated 456 runs batted in as well as 896 hits so far this season, while their team batting average is at .245. They have racked up 482 runs while having a team OBP of .309.

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The Orioles have an earned run average of 4.89 on the campaign (27th in the league), and the staff has struck out 889 batters. Orioles pitchers have given up 153 home runs in addition to 549 runs in total (27th in baseball). They have walked 363 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.56 as a team this year. Baltimore has relinquished 992 base hits (9.3 per 9 innings) and also 521 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.45 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.41.

Orioles pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 113 times as well as having 113 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have a total of 76 holds for the season (2nd in MLB). The Orioles bullpen have a save percentage of 65.0% and have entered the game in 119 save situations. They have recorded 26 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 14 of 40 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 151 runners so far this season with 19.9% of those runners crossed home plate. The Orioles have dispatched 378 relievers to the hill on the season.

The Orioles have transformed 68.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 8,625 innings on the diamond, ranking them 29th in the majors. The Atlanta Braves have accumulated 2,875 putouts for the season, in addition to 957 assists and 57 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .985 which has them sitting 20th in the majors, and they have turned 78 double plays.

Rogers has thrown 458 innings and has racked up 458 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. Rogers (19-35 career mark) has earned a FIP of 4.00 while he has gone up against 1,980 hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 4.07 (207 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.342. He has surrendered 436 base knocks (8.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 179 free passes.

The Chicago Cubs have accounted for an OBP of .325 in addition to a batting average of .255 on the campaign. They have been rung up on 840 instances (26th in the league) and have recorded 951 base hits. Chicago has a total of 158 home runs this year to go along with 555 runs batted in. The Cubs hold a team slugging percentage of .444 and they have an average of 5.28 runs per contest (1st in baseball). They have recorded 188 two-baggers, while getting a free base 372 times as well as scoring 570 runs.

The Cubs have a team WHIP of 1.234 in addition to having a FIP of 4.32 as a squad on the campaign. They are sitting at 17th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 900. The Chicago pitching staff have surrendered 457 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.96 (423 earned runs surrendered). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 7.50 (804 strikeouts vs 285 walks). They have conceded 141 home runs and they concede 4.28 runs per 9 innings (14th in baseball).

With 106 save situations, the Cubs have amassed 67 holds and also 11 blown saves. Chicago has had relievers enter the contest in 36 save chances and they have come away with 25 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 101 times in high leverage situations and on 74 occasions with runners on. Chicago relievers have an inherited score rate of 30.1% of 103 inherited base runners. They are ranked 4th in the league with a save rate of 69.4%, and they have sent 356 relievers to the mound for the year.

The Chicago Cubs have gotten 88 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .988 (9th in professional baseball). The Cubs have 909 assists, 47 errors and have a total of 2,882 putouts during this campaign. In 8,646 innings on the field, the Cubs have earned a efficiency on defense of 71.2% (5th in baseball).

Horton (4-3 career win-loss mark) has earned a 3.70 earned run average while conceding 9.0 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.27 and he has faced 289 opposing batters during his career. He has surrendered a total of 28 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.320 and having a FIP of 3.6. Thus far in his career, Horton has surrendered 68 hits while he has totaled 50 punch outs in 68 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Chicago (-182) and under 9 runs

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