Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 8/2/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Saturday, August 2, 2025

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+162) Chicago (-196)

The Chicago Cubs (63-45) will try to beat the Baltimore Orioles (50-59) at Wrigley Field on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has Baltimore at +162 and Chicago is at -196. The over/under is 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Tomoyuki Sugano and Ben Brown.

As a unit, the Baltimore Orioles are compiling 4.4 runs/g, which is 13th in MLB. They are sitting with 482 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .309. The Orioles have compiled 182 doubles as a team and have hit 136 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 456 runs batted in as well as 896 hits on the season, while their average at the plate sits at .245. Baltimore has a slugging rate of .413 and have been called out on strikes 936 times, while being walked on 299 occasions.

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The Orioles hold a team ERA of 4.89 for the season (27th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 889 hitters. Orioles pitchers have allowed 153 home runs in addition to 549 runs in total (27th in baseball). They have walked 363 batters and their FIP sits at 4.56 as a team this year. Baltimore has yielded 992 base knocks (9.3 per 9 innings) and 521 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.45 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.41.

Orioles bullpen pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 113 times in addition to having 113 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 76 holds this season (2nd in the league). The Orioles relievers have compiled a save rate of 65.0% and have entered the game in 119 save situations. They have recorded 26 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 14 of 40 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 151 base runners over the course of the season and 19.9% of those runners crossed the plate. The Orioles have dispatched 378 relief pitchers to the mound for the year.

The Atlanta Braves have earned 2,875 putouts thus far, in addition to 957 assists and 57 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .985 which is 20th in baseball, and have accumulated 78 double plays. The Orioles have turned 68.0% of balls in play into outs out of their 8,625 innings, which has them ranked 29th in pro baseball.

Sugano (8-5 career record) has a FIP of 4.31 while going up against 468 opposing hitters in the majors. He has given up 117 hits (9.7 hits per nine innings) with 28 free passes. His ERA is 4.38 (53 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.330. Sugano has taken the mound for 109 frames and has accumulated 71 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career.

The Chicago Cubs hold a team on-base percentage of .325 and a team batting average of .255 so far this season. They have been rung up on 840 instances (26th in baseball) and have tallied 951 base knocks. Chicago has accumulated 158 home runs this season as well as 555 runs batted in. The Cubs hold a slugging % of .444 and they are recording 5.28 runs per game (1st in the league). They have put up 188 doubles, while taking a walk 372 times as well as scoring 570 runs.

The Cubs have a team WHIP of 1.234 and have a FIP of 4.32 as a pitching staff this year. They rank 17th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 900. The Chicago pitching staff have given up 457 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 3.96 (423 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio is 7.50 (804 strikeouts against 285 bases on balls). They have allowed 141 dingers and they relinquish 4.28 runs per 9 innings (14th in baseball).

With 106 save situations, the Cubs have 67 holds and 11 blown saves. Chicago has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 36 save chances and they have recorded 25 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 101 times in high leverage situations in addition to 74 occasions with runners on. Chicago relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 30.1% of 103 inherited base runners. They are ranked 4th in the league with a save percentage of 69.4%, and they have sent 356 relievers to the mound for the year.

The Chicago Cubs have turned 88 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .988 (9th in MLB). The Cubs have accrued 909 assists, 47 errors and have a tally of 2,882 putouts for the season. In their 8,646 innings on the diamond, the Cubs have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 71.2% (5th in the majors).

During his pro baseball career, Brown has allowed 145 base knocks while he has earned 163 strikeouts in 143 innings. Brown (6-10 record in his career) is the owner of a 5.22 ERA while allowing 9.1 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 83 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.334 and being the owner of a FIP of 5.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.54 and he has gone up against 617 opposing batters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Chicago (-196) and under 8.5 runs

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