Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 8/3/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Sunday, August 3, 2025

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+125) Chicago (-150)

Wrigley Field is where the Chicago Cubs (63-45) will take on the Baltimore Orioles (50-59) on Sunday. The moneyline on this game has Baltimore at +125 while Chicago is sitting at -150. The total is 9. The starting pitchers will be Cade Povich and Colin Rea.

As a unit, the Baltimore Orioles are notching 4.4 runs per contest, which ranks them 13th in MLB. They have 482 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .309. The Orioles have accounted for 182 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 136 baseballs out of the park. They have amassed 456 RBI's in addition to 896 base knocks this year, while their average at the plate is at .245. Baltimore is slugging .413 and have been called out on strikes 936 times, while taking a walk on 299 occasions.

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The Orioles are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.89 this season (27th in the league), and they have rung up 889 batters. Orioles pitchers have surrendered 153 home runs and 549 runs in total (27th in baseball). They have walked 363 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.57 as a squad this year. Baltimore has yielded 992 base hits (9.3 per 9 innings) and 521 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.45 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.41.

The Orioles bullpen have a save rate of 65.0% and have entered the game in 119 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 151 runners on the campaign with 19.9% of those players crossed home plate. Orioles pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 113 times in addition to having 113 appearances in high leverage situations. The Orioles have sent 378 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. The relief pitchers have racked up 76 holds on the year (2nd in MLB). They have compiled 26 saves this season and have missed out on 14 out of their 40 save opportunities.

The Orioles have converted 68.0% of baseballs in play into outs in their 8,625 innings on the diamond, ranking them 29th in MLB. The Atlanta Braves have 2,875 putouts this year, as well as 957 assists and 57 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .985 which puts them in 20th in the majors, and have 78 double plays.

Povich has taken the ball for 143 innings and has 137 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. Povich (5-14 record in his career) holds a FIP of 5.13 and he has gone up against 637 batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 5.21 (83 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.471. He has surrendered 154 hits (9.7 hits per nine innings) and has had 57 walks.

The Cubs have a team slugging percentage of .444 and they are recording 5.28 runs per game (1st in the league). They have put up 188 doubles, while taking a walk 372 times and racking up 570 runs. Chicago is sitting with 158 long balls over the course of the season as well as 555 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 840 instances (26th in baseball) and have earned 951 base knocks. The Chicago Cubs have earned an on-base percentage of .325 in addition to a batting average of .255 this year.

The Cubs are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.235 and have a FIP of 4.33 as a staff for the season. They come in at 17th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 901. The Chicago pitching staff have conceded 457 runs on the year while having a team ERA of 3.96 (423 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio sits at 7.50 (804 strikeouts against 285 walks). They have given up 141 HR's and they concede 4.28 runs per 9 innings (13th in the league).

Chicago relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 30.1% out of their 103 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 101 times in high leverage situations and also on 74 occasions with runners on base. With 106 save situations, the Cubs have tallied 67 holds and 11 blown saves. They are ranked 5th in the league with a save rate of 69.4%, and they have sent 356 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond so far this season. Chicago has had relief pitchers take the mound in 36 save chances and they have walked away with 25 saves.

The Chicago Cubs have gotten 88 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .988 (8th in pro baseball). The Cubs have recorded 909 assists, 46 errors and are sitting with 2,882 putouts during this campaign. In 8,646 innings on the field, the Cubs have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 71.2% (4th in the majors).

During his pro baseball career, Rea has given up 544 base knocks while totaling 441 punch outs in 552 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 277 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.286 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.66 and he has faced 2,351 hitters in his pro baseball career. Rea (34-25 career mark) has earned a 4.51 ERA and has conceded 8.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Chicago (-150) and under 9 runs

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