Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 7/24/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Thursday, July 24, 2025

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: CLEGuardians.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+172) Cleveland (-210)

The Cleveland Guardians (50-50) will try to defeat the Baltimore Orioles (44-56) at Progressive Field on Thursday. The odds on this game have Baltimore at +172 and Cleveland is priced at -210. The betting total is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Charlie Morton and Logan Allen.

Baltimore owns a slugging percentage of .396 and have struck out 874 times, while drawing a walk on 273 occasions. They have amassed 387 RBI's and 798 hits for the year, and their average at the plate sits at .239. The Orioles have earned 157 doubles as a unit and have hit 116 baseballs out of the park. They have tallied 410 runs scored and hold an OBP of .303. As a team, the Baltimore Orioles are scoring 4.1 runs per game, which is 23rd in MLB.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.45 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.43. Orioles pitchers have surrendered 141 home runs and also 517 total runs (27th in the league). Baltimore has relinquished 923 hits (9.5 per 9 innings) in addition to 490 earned runs. The Orioles have a team ERA of 5.02 for the year (27th in the league), and their staff has rung up 817 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 334 batters and their FIP sits at 4.57 as a team for the year.

Orioles relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 111 times as well as having 102 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have notched 71 holds this year (3rd in MLB). The Orioles bullpen have a save rate of 64.9% and have come into the game in 111 save situations. They have recorded 24 saves this year and have blown 13 out of their 37 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 148 runners for the season with 20.3% of them ended up scoring. The Orioles have dispatched 351 relievers to the mound on the year.

The Orioles have converted 67.6% of balls in play into outs in their 7,905 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 29th in professional baseball. The Atlanta Braves have accounted for 2,635 putouts this season, as well as 880 assists and 56 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .984 which has them ranked 23rd in pro baseball, and have earned 67 double plays.

Morton has pitched in 111 innings and has 99 K's in his pro baseball career. Morton (5-9 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 5.02 and he has gone up against 500 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 5.09 (63 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.447. He has given up 115 hits (9.3 hits per nine innings) and has had 46 walks.

The Cleveland Guardians have accumulated an on-base percentage of .298 in addition to a team batting average of .225 on the campaign. They have struck out on 818 occasions (18th in MLB) and have notched a total of 735 base hits. Cleveland has compiled 106 long balls over the course of the season as well as 372 RBIs. The Guardians hold a team slugging % of .373 and they average 3.87 runs per game (26th in the league). They have hit 146 doubles, while taking a walk 322 times and putting up 387 runs.

The Cleveland pitching staff have allowed 422 runs on the year while holding a team ERA of 3.94 (389 earned runs yielded). They have allowed 107 home runs and they allow 4.28 runs per 9 innings (15th in MLB). The Guardians have a WHIP of 1.330 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.08 as a pitching staff for the year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.60 (844 strikeouts against 360 walks). They have a ranking of 15th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 821.

Sitting with 113 save situations, the Guardians have recorded 71 holds in addition to 12 blown saves. Cleveland has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 40 save chances and they have walked away with 28 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 109 times in high leverage situations in addition to 86 occasions with base runners. Cleveland bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 36.4% out of their 121 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 4th in the league with a save rate of 70.0%, and they have dispatched 333 relievers to the mound on the year.

In 7,995 innings played, the Guardians have a efficiency on defense of 69.0% (22nd in MLB). The Cleveland Guardians have gotten 79 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in pro baseball). The Guardians have accrued 810 assists, 67 errors and are sitting with 2,665 putouts during this campaign.

Thus far in his career, Allen has surrendered 333 base knocks while he has totaled 272 strikeouts in 317 innings pitched. He has surrendered a total of 158 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.453 and a FIP of 4.4. His K/BB ratio is 2.13 and he has gone up against 1,377 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Allen (21-21 career mark) has earned a 4.48 earned run average and has given up 9.4 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Cleveland (-210) and under 8.5 runs

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