Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros Prediction, 8/15/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros

Date: Friday, August 15, 2025

Location: Daikin Park in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+125) Houston (-145)

The Baltimore Orioles (54-66) are hitting the road to Daikin Park on Friday where they will try to defeat the Houston Astros (68-53). The odds on this game have the Orioles at +125 while the Astros are at -145. The over/under is set at 8. The pitchers expected to start will be Brandon Young and Framber Valdez.

As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles are putting up 4.2 runs per contest, which has them at 21st in baseball. They have accounted for 509 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .303. The Orioles have accrued 196 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 145 baseballs out of the stadium. They have earned 482 RBI's in addition to 959 base knocks for the year, and their average at the plate sits at .240. Baltimore is slugging .404 and have struck out 1,038 times, while taking a walk on 324 occasions.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.53 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.40. Orioles pitchers have surrendered 164 home runs and also 597 total runs (26th in MLB). Baltimore has conceded 1,085 base hits (9.3 per 9 innings) and 562 earned runs. The Orioles are sitting with a team ERA of 4.80 for the year (27th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 984 batters. They have walked 389 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.48 as a team on the year.

The Orioles have dispatched 405 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. The relievers have inherited 162 base runners so far this year and 22.8% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have compiled 28 saves on the campaign and have blown 16 of their 44 chances to get a save. The Orioles relievers have earned a save rate of 63.6% and have come into the game in 128 save situations. The bullpen have 81 holds this year (5th in MLB). Orioles bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on 119 times in addition to having 123 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Orioles have turned 68.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 9,480 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 28th in pro baseball. The Atlanta Braves have amassed 3,160 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,045 assists and 61 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .986 which puts them in 19th in MLB, and have accumulated 86 double plays.

Young (0-6 career record) has earned a FIP of 6.63 while he has gone up against 204 batters during his time in the major leagues. He has allowed 57 base hits (11.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 20 free passes. His ERA is 6.73 (33 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.746. Young has thrown 44 frames and has accumulated 40 punch outs in his MLB career.

The Astros hold a team slugging % of .408 and they are recording 4.34 runs per outing (16th in the league). They have put up 189 two-baggers, while taking a walk 352 times and racking up 525 runs. Houston has a total of 135 home runs for the season as well as 502 RBIs. They have struck out on 942 instances (25th in MLB) and have totaled 1,057 base hits. The Houston Astros have accounted for a team OBP of .322 as well as a batting average of .258 so far this season.

The Houston pitching staff have surrendered 480 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 3.76 (450 earned runs yielded). They have surrendered 142 home runs and they relinquish 4.01 runs per 9 innings (6th in the league). The Astros have a WHIP of 1.203 in addition to having a FIP of 3.85 as a team so far this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.60 (1,147 strikeouts against 366 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 5th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 928.

Houston has had relievers step onto the hill in 48 save opportunities and they have come away with 36 saves. They rank 1st in baseball holding a save rate of 75.0%, and they have sent 377 relief pitchers onto the field so far this year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 119 times in high leverage situations in addition to 89 occasions with runners on. Houston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 26.4% out of 121 inherited base runners. Sitting with 122 save situations, the Astros have accumulated 72 holds and also 12 blown saves.

The Houston Astros have gotten 76 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .988 (6th in professional baseball). The Astros have accrued 946 assists, 49 errors and have accounted for 3,228 putouts so far this year. Out of their 9,684 innings on the field, the Astros have a defensive efficiency of 70.7% (11th in the majors).

During his career, Valdez has allowed 861 hits while he has earned 1,011 strikeouts in 1,033 innings pitched. Valdez (79-46 career mark) is the owner of a 3.26 earned run average while allowing 7.5 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed a total of 374 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.191 and a FIP of 3.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.73 and he has gone up against 4,276 batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Baltimore (+125)

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