Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros Prediction, 8/17/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros

Date: Sunday, August 17, 2025

Location: Daikin Park in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+220) Houston (-275)

Daikin Park is the location where the Houston Astros (68-53) will try to defeat the Baltimore Orioles (55-66) on Sunday. The line on this matchup has the Orioles at +220 while the Astros are priced at -275. The over/under is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Dean Kremer and Cristian Javier.

Baltimore owns a slugging percentage of .403 and have struck out 1,042 times, while taking a walk on 331 occasions. They have compiled 485 runs batted in in addition to 963 hits so far this season, while their batting average sits at .239. The Orioles have tallied 197 doubles as a squad and have hit 145 balls out of the park. They are sitting with 514 runs while having a team OBP of .304. As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles are recording 4.3 runs per game, which has them at 21st in the league.

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The Orioles have compiled a team ERA of 4.79 so far this year (27th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 988 batters. Orioles pitchers have yielded 165 home runs in addition to 600 runs in total (26th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 392 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.49 as a team on the season. Baltimore has allowed 1,093 base hits (9.3 per 9 innings) and 565 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.52 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.40.

Orioles relief pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 120 times and also have had 123 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have tallied 83 holds for the season (4th in the league). The Orioles relievers have recorded a save rate of 64.4% and have come into the game in 131 save situations. They have recorded 29 saves on the campaign and have not converted 16 of 45 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 163 base runners on the campaign and 23.3% of those players ended up scoring. The Orioles have sent 409 relief pitchers to the mound for the year.

The Orioles have turned 68.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 9,561 innings, which has them sitting at 28th in MLB. The Atlanta Braves have 3,187 putouts this year, in addition to 1,050 assists and 61 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .986 which ranks 19th in professional baseball, and have 86 double plays.

Kremer (38-39 career record) has a FIP of 4.20 and he has gone up against 2,709 batters in the major leagues. He has allowed 621 hits (8.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 213 free passes. His earned run average is 4.26 (303 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.303. Kremer has taken the hill for 640 innings and has tallied 552 strikeouts during his career.

Houston has accounted for 135 home runs for the year and 502 runs batted in. They have tallied 189 two-baggers, while getting a free base 352 times as well as recording 525 runs. The Houston Astros have accounted for an OBP of .322 as well as a team batting average of .258 over the course of the season. The Astros hold a team slugging percentage of .408 and they average 4.34 runs per game (16th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 942 instances (26th in MLB) and have 1,057 base knocks.

The Astros have a WHIP of 1.203 with a FIP of 3.84 as a staff for the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.60 (1,147 strikeouts vs 366 walks). They have a ranking of 5th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 928. They have yielded 142 dingers and they yield 4.01 runs per 9 innings (6th in MLB). The Houston pitching staff have given up 480 runs so far this season while having an ERA of 3.76 (450 earned runs surrendered).

Houston has called on relievers to enter the game in 48 save opportunities and they have tallied 36 saves. They sit at 1st in the league with a save percentage of 75.0%, and they have sent 377 relievers onto the diamond on the season. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 119 times in high leverage situations and on 89 occasions with runners on base. Houston relievers have an inherited score percentage of 26.4% of 121 inherited base runners. With 122 save situations, the Astros have compiled 72 holds and 12 blown saves.

The Houston Astros have turned 76 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .988 (6th in baseball). The Astros have accrued 946 assists, 49 errors and have accounted for 3,228 putouts for the year. In their 9,684 innings played, the Astros have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 70.7% (11th in pro baseball).

In his career, Javier has allowed 368 base hits while totaling 569 punch outs in 506 innings pitched. Javier (34-18 career record) has a 3.59 earned run average and has allowed 6.5 hits per nine innings. He has given up 202 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.134 and having a FIP of 3.5. His K/BB ratio is 2.76 and he has faced 2,079 hitters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Baltimore (+220)

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