Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction, 6/20/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees

Date: Friday, June 20, 2025

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+126) New York (-152)

The Baltimore Orioles (31-42) are hitting the road to Yankee Stadium on Friday where they will attempt to defeat the New York Yankees (42-31). The line on this contest has Baltimore at +126 while New York is at -152. The total is 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Tomoyuki Sugano and Max Fried.

The Orioles have accumulated 106 doubles as a unit and have hit 86 balls out of the stadium. Baltimore is slugging .398 and have struck out 644 times, while being walked on 203 occasions. As a team, the Baltimore Orioles are scoring 4.0 runs per game, which has them at 24th in MLB. They have recorded 274 RBI's as well as 586 base knocks on the year, and their batting average is .241. They have accounted for 293 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .305.

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The Orioles have a team ERA of 4.98 this season (27th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 598 hitters. Orioles pitchers have surrendered 101 home runs and also 372 runs (25th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 237 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.47 as a squad this season. Baltimore has given up 674 hits (9.5 per 9 innings) and also 353 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.52 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.43.

Orioles relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 87 times in addition to having 72 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen are sitting with 58 holds on the season (2nd in the league). The Orioles relief pitchers have a save rate of 68.0% and have stepped onto the mound in 86 save situations. They have compiled 17 saves this season and have not converted 8 of 25 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 117 runners for the year with 20.5% of them crossed home plate. The Orioles have sent 256 relief pitchers to the mound this season.

The Orioles have turned 67.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of 5,745 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 29th in MLB. The Atlanta Braves have accounted for 1,915 putouts this year, as well as 644 assists and 38 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .985 which has them ranked 21st in the majors, and have earned 53 double plays.

Sugano (5-4 career record) has a FIP of 3.32 and he has gone up against 327 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has allowed 77 base hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) with 14 free passes. His ERA is 3.38 (30 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.138. Sugano has taken the ball for 80 innings and has accumulated 46 K's thus far in his career.

The Yankees hold a slugging percentage of .446 and they are scoring 5.10 runs per game (3rd in MLB). They have put up 126 doubles, while taking a walk 290 times as well as notching 372 runs. New York has recorded 111 long balls this year as well as 358 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 646 instances (6th in baseball) and have totaled 621 base knocks. The New York Yankees are sitting with an on-base percentage of .335 in addition to a team batting average of .251 for the season.

The Yankees have a team WHIP of 1.191 and have a FIP of 3.61 as a team on the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.40 (678 strikeouts vs 243 walks). They are sitting at 2nd in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 528. They have allowed 71 homers and they surrender 3.82 runs per 9 innings (8th in the league). The New York pitching staff have surrendered 275 runs for the season while having a team ERA of 3.53 (254 earned runs surrendered).

New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 22.6% out of 124 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 70 times in high leverage situations and also on 79 occasions with base runners. With 70 save situations, the Yankees have accumulated 41 holds and 7 blown saves. They are ranked 3rd in the league with a save rate of 75.0%, and they have sent 236 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond on the year. New York has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 28 save opportunities and they have walked away with 21 saves.

In their 5,829 innings on the diamond, the Yankees have a defensive efficiency of 71.5% (5th in baseball). The New York Yankees have turned 44 double plays and have a fielding rate of .987 (14th in professional baseball). The Yankees have recorded 613 assists, 34 errors and have notched a total of 1,943 putouts over the course of the season.

So far in his career, Fried has conceded 853 hits and he has 953 punch outs in 979 innings. He has given up 322 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.143 and a FIP of 2.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.58 and he has faced 3,987 batters in his career. Fried (82-38 career mark) holds a 2.96 ERA while allowing 7.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Baltimore (+126)

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