Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 8/6/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Wednesday, August 6, 2025

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+162) Philadelphia (-196)

Citizens Bank Park is the site where the Philadelphia Phillies (64-48) will attempt to defeat the Baltimore Orioles (51-62) on Wednesday. The line on this contest has Baltimore at +162 and Philadelphia is at -196. The betting total is set at 9. The starting pitchers will be Trevor Rogers and Ranger Suarez.

Baltimore has a slugging rate of .409 and have struck out 976 times, while being walked on 309 occasions. They have 466 runs batted in as well as 918 base knocks for the season, while their batting average sits at .243. The Orioles have tallied 187 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 139 baseballs out of the park. They have earned a total of 492 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .307. As a unit, the Baltimore Orioles are scoring 4.4 runs per game, which ranks them 15th in baseball.

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The Orioles have an earned run average of 4.90 for the season (27th in baseball), and they have struck out 925 hitters. Orioles pitchers have allowed 160 home runs in addition to 571 total runs (27th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 371 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.57 as a team for the year. Baltimore has allowed 1,028 hits (9.3 per 9 innings) and also 540 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.49 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.41.

The Orioles relievers have a save percentage of 65.9% and have entered the game in 121 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 159 base runners this season with 21.4% of those runners earned a run for their team. Orioles pitchers have entered the game with players on base 117 times and also have had 118 appearances in high leverage situations. The Orioles have sent 388 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. The relief pitchers have 77 holds this year (4th in MLB). They have earned 27 saves for the year and have blown 14 of 41 chances to save the game.

The Orioles have converted 68.0% of baseballs in play into outs in their 8,922 innings on the field, which has them sitting 28th in professional baseball. The Atlanta Braves have amassed 2,974 putouts this season, as well as 985 assists and 60 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .985 which ranks 20th in pro baseball, and they have turned 79 double plays.

Rogers has taken the hill for 466 innings and has tallied 466 punch outs during his career. Rogers (19-36 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.96 while going up against 2,008 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.02 (208 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.328. He has given up 440 hits (8.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 179 free passes.

Philadelphia has compiled 135 HRs this season as well as 506 runs batted in. They have 181 doubles, while walking 377 times and putting up 529 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies hold an OBP of .326 and a team batting average of .254 on the season. The Phillies hold a team slugging % of .416 and they earn 4.72 runs per outing (9th in the league). They have been rung up on 902 instances (20th in MLB) and have earned 969 hits.

The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.244 and have a FIP of 3.73 as a team on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.30 (1,030 strikeouts vs 312 bases on balls). They rank 19th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 928. They have surrendered 126 home runs and they surrender 4.07 runs per 9 innings (6th in baseball). The Philadelphia pitching staff have given up 451 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 3.78 (419 earned runs conceded).

Philadelphia relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 32.4% out of 105 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 114 times in high leverage situations and also on 73 occasions with base runners. With 95 save situations, the Phillies have compiled 48 holds in addition to 17 blown saves. They are currently ranked 16th in the league with a save rate of 63.0%, and they have dispatched 343 relief pitchers onto the diamond for the year. Philadelphia has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 46 save opportunities and they have come away with 29 saves.

Out of their 8,976 innings on the diamond, the Phillies have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (21st in MLB). The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 74 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .989 (3rd in baseball). The Phillies have recorded 965 assists, 42 errors and are sitting with 2,992 putouts over the course of the season.

During his pro baseball career, Suarez has surrendered 661 base hits and he has 649 strikeouts in 704 frames. Suarez (49-33 career record) holds a 3.32 ERA while surrendering 8.4 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded a total of 260 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.263 and having a FIP of 3.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.83 and he has gone up against 2,955 hitters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-196)

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