Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 6/19/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Thursday, June 19, 2025

Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+110) Tampa Bay (-130)

The Tampa Bay Rays (40-33) are welcoming the Baltimore Orioles (31-41) at George M. Steinbrenner Field on Thursday. The odds on this game have the Orioles at +110 while the Rays are coming in at -130. The over/under is 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Charlie Morton and Drew Rasmussen.

As a team, the Baltimore Orioles are notching 4.0 runs per game, which has them at 24th in the league. They have earned 285 runs while holding a team OBP of .306. The Orioles have tallied 105 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 83 balls out of the stadium. They have accumulated 266 runs batted in as well as 579 base knocks this season, while their team batting average comes in at .241. Baltimore owns a slugging percentage of .397 and have struck out 637 times, while taking a walk on 202 occasions.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.55 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.41. Orioles pitchers have surrendered 100 home runs and 360 runs in total (25th in the league). Baltimore has given up 656 base knocks (9.4 per 9 innings) and also 341 earned runs. The Orioles have a team ERA of 4.87 over the course of the season (26th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 591 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 232 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.47 as a team on the season.

The Orioles relievers have recorded a save rate of 68.0% and stepped onto the hill in 86 save situations. The relievers have inherited 115 base runners for the year and 20.9% of those players earned a run for their team. Orioles bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 85 times in addition to having 71 appearances in high leverage situations. The Orioles have sent 251 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. The relievers have notched 58 holds over the course of the season (2nd in baseball). They have 17 saves this year and have blown 8 of 25 chances to get a save.

The Orioles have turned 67.7% of balls in play into outs in their 5,673 innings, which ranks them 29th in baseball. The Atlanta Braves have a tally of 1,891 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 635 assists and 37 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .986 which has them sitting 19th in professional baseball, and they have turned 53 double plays.

Morton has taken the ball for 2,186 innings and has earned 2,114 punch outs so far in his career. Morton (141-130 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.01 while he has gone up against 9,387 batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 4.07 (989 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.317. He has conceded 2,060 hits (8.5 hits per 9 innings) with 819 free passes.

Tampa Bay has a total of 77 home runs for the season as well as 316 RBIs. They have notched 116 doubles, while taking a walk 225 times as well as scoring 333 runs. The Tampa Bay Rays have tallied an on-base percentage of .317 and a batting average of .250 for the year. The Rays hold a slugging percentage of .395 and they tally 4.56 runs per game (10th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 615 occasions (12th in MLB) and have earned 612 base hits.

The Tampa Bay pitching staff have yielded 269 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 3.44 (250 earned runs given up). They have conceded 94 HR's and they allow 3.70 runs per 9 innings (5th in the league). The Rays are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.177 and have a FIP of 4.16 as a unit on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.10 (589 strikeouts against 196 bases on balls). They sit at 12th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 574.

Tampa Bay has had relievers step onto the hill in 27 save opportunities and they have converted 17 saves. They sit at 15th in the league with a save percentage of 63.0%, and they have sent 229 relievers onto the diamond over the course of the season. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 69 times in high leverage situations in addition to 46 occasions with runners on base. Tampa Bay relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 35.3% of 68 inherited base runners. Sitting with 74 save situations, the Rays have recorded 46 holds and also 10 blown saves.

The Tampa Bay Rays have turned 81 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (12th in MLB). The Rays have accrued 689 assists, 34 errors and have a tally of 1,963 putouts for the year. In their 5,889 innings on the diamond, the Rays hold a efficiency on defense of 71.7% (3rd in the majors).

During his pro baseball career, Rasmussen has conceded 311 base knocks while accumulating 363 punch outs in 384 innings pitched. Rasmussen (26-16 career record) holds a 2.88 earned run average while surrendering 7.3 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 123 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.062 and being the owner of a FIP of 2.8. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.74 and he has faced 1,538 batters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-130)

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