Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 9/12/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Friday, September 12, 2025

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+120) Toronto (-144)

Rogers Centre is the location where the Toronto Blue Jays (83-62) will go up against the Baltimore Orioles (68-77) on Friday. The line on this contest has the Orioles at +120 and the Blue Jays are sitting at -144. The over/under is set at 8. The starting pitchers are Trevor Rogers and Chris Bassitt.

The Orioles have hit 233 doubles as a squad and have knocked 173 baseballs out of the park. Baltimore owns a slugging percentage of .401 and have been called out on strikes 1,289 times, while drawing a walk on 419 occasions. As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles are recording 4.3 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. They have 592 runs batted in and 1,170 base knocks on the year, and their team batting average is sitting at .240. They have accounted for 625 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .307.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.56 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.37. Orioles pitchers have relinquished 196 long balls and 705 runs (25th in the league). Baltimore has allowed 1,288 base hits (9.0 per 9 innings) as well as 656 earned runs. The Orioles have a team earned run average of 4.60 on the season (24th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,191 batters. They have walked 466 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.46 as a unit for the season.

Orioles bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 141 times and also have had 151 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have racked up 94 holds for the year (5th in MLB). The Orioles bullpen have a save percentage of 63.5% and have come into the game in 150 save situations. They have accumulated 33 saves this year and have blown 19 of 52 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 196 base runners so far this season with 25.5% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Orioles have sent 486 relief pitchers to the mound this season.

The Orioles have turned 68.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,556 innings on the field, which has them sitting 26th in the majors. The Atlanta Braves have a total of 3,852 putouts so far this season, in addition to 1,284 assists and 79 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .985 which puts them in 19th in professional baseball, and have 105 double plays.

Rogers (23-36 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 3.77 and he has gone up against 2,163 hitters in the majors. He has given up 474 base knocks (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has 186 walks. His ERA is 3.83 (215 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.306. Rogers has pitched in 505 innings and is sitting with 505 K's in his pro baseball career.

Toronto has 175 home runs on the campaign as well as 696 RBIs. They have 265 two-baggers, while walking 473 times and scoring 721 runs. The Toronto Blue Jays have accounted for an on-base percentage of .337 in addition to a team batting average of .268 on the campaign. The Blue Jays have a team slugging % of .431 and they earn 4.97 runs per outing (4th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 982 occasions (30th in the league) and have recorded 1,329 hits.

The Blue Jays are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.269 in addition to having a FIP of 4.34 as a squad on the year. They are currently ranked 12th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,173. The Toronto pitching staff have relinquished 656 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 4.22 (603 earned runs allowed). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.00 (1,283 strikeouts vs 460 free passes). They have conceded 194 dingers and they concede 4.59 runs per 9 innings (19th in the league).

Toronto has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 62 save opportunities and they have walked away with 39 saves. They sit at 16th in MLB holding a save rate of 62.9%, and they have dispatched 505 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond this year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 144 times in high leverage situations and also on 156 occasions with runners on. Toronto relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 29.5% out of 224 inherited runners. Sitting with 153 save situations, the Blue Jays have 86 holds and also 23 blown saves.

The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 104 double plays and have a fielding rate of .984 (22nd in pro baseball). The Blue Jays have recorded 1,112 assists, 81 errors and are sitting with 3,861 putouts so far this season. In 11,583 innings on the diamond, the Blue Jays are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.1% (13th in the majors).

In his pro baseball career, Bassitt has surrendered 1,174 base hits while he has accumulated 1,182 strikeouts in 1,269 frames. He has allowed 513 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.245 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.91 and he has gone up against 5,370 opposing hitters in his career. Bassitt (83-64 record in his career) has a 3.64 earned run average and has conceded 8.3 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toronto (-144)

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