Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 9/14/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Sunday, September 14, 2025

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+126) Toronto (-152)

Rogers Centre is where the Toronto Blue Jays (84-62) will meet the Baltimore Orioles (69-77) on Sunday. The moneyline on this game has the Orioles at +126 while the Blue Jays are coming in at -152. The total comes in at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Andrew Suarez and Shane Bieber.

As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles are putting up 4.3 runs per outing, which ranks them 19th in baseball. They have notched a total of 628 runs and have an OBP of .307. The Orioles have accumulated 234 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 173 baseballs out of the park. They have tallied 595 RBI's and 1,177 base knocks so far this year, and their average at the plate is .240. Baltimore has a slugging rate of .400 and have been called out on strikes 1,297 times, while drawing a walk on 424 occasions.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.56 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.37. Orioles pitchers have surrendered 197 home runs in addition to 707 runs in total (25th in the league). Baltimore has conceded 1,297 hits (9.0 per 9 innings) and 658 earned runs. The Orioles have a team earned run average of 4.58 so far this year (24th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 1,202 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 469 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.45 as a squad on the year.

Orioles bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on 142 times as well as having 154 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 95 holds over the course of the season (4th in the league). The Orioles relievers have accumulated a save rate of 64.2% and have come into the game in 152 save situations. They have recorded 34 saves for the year and have blown 19 of their 53 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 197 base runners over the course of the season with 25.4% of those players crossed the plate. The Orioles have sent 490 relievers to the hill so far this season.

The Orioles have converted 68.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 11,637 innings, which has them ranked 26th in MLB. The Atlanta Braves have notched a total of 3,879 putouts for the season, as well as 1,296 assists and 79 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .985 which is 19th in the majors, and they have turned 105 double plays.

Suarez has taken the ball for 230 innings and has earned 177 punch outs so far in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.97 (127 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.408. He has surrendered 244 hits (9.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 80 free passes. Suarez (7-15 career mark) has earned a FIP of 4.89 while going up against 985 opposing batters in the majors.

The Blue Jays hold a slugging % of .432 and they have an average of 4.98 runs per contest (4th in the league). They have put up 267 two-baggers, while walking 475 times as well as scoring 727 runs. Toronto has accumulated 176 HRs on the season as well as 702 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 988 occasions (30th in the league) and have a total of 1,337 hits. The Toronto Blue Jays hold an on-base percentage of .337 as well as a team batting average of .268 so far this year.

The Toronto pitching staff have allowed 656 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 4.19 (603 earned runs relinquished). They have given up 194 homers and they surrender 4.56 runs per 9 innings (19th in baseball). The Blue Jays hold a team WHIP of 1.262 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.32 as a squad on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.00 (1,292 strikeouts against 461 free passes). They are currently ranked 11th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 1,175.

Toronto relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 29.5% out of 224 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 144 times in high leverage situations and on 156 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 153 save situations, the Blue Jays have earned 86 holds and also 23 blown saves. They are ranked 16th in the league with a save percentage of 62.9%, and they have dispatched 505 relievers to the hill so far this season. Toronto has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 62 save opportunities and they have recorded 39 saves.

In 11,664 innings played, the Blue Jays have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.2% (11th in baseball). The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 104 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .984 (22nd in MLB). The Blue Jays have accrued 1,120 assists, 81 errors and have accumulated 3,888 putouts so far this season.

During his pro baseball career, Bieber has surrendered 773 base knocks while accumulating 983 punch outs in 866 innings pitched. He has allowed 313 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.113 and having a FIP of 3.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 5.15 and he has gone up against 3,506 batters so far in his career. Bieber (64-33 mark in his career) has earned a 3.25 earned run average while allowing 8.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toronto (-152)

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