Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 8/28/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Thursday, August 28, 2025

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-145) Baltimore (+125)

The Boston Red Sox (73-60) are en route to Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Thursday where they will take on the Baltimore Orioles (60-72). The odds on this game have the Red Sox at -145 while the Orioles are sitting at +125. The total is set at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Garrett Crochet and Cade Povich.

Boston owns a slugging percentage of .425 and have struck out 1,177 times, while drawing a walk on 439 occasions. They have 632 runs batted in in addition to 1,152 base knocks this season, and their average at the plate is sitting at .253. The Red Sox have accrued 269 doubles as a squad and have smacked 159 baseballs out of the stadium. They have a total of 662 runs scored and hold an OBP of .324. As a unit, the Boston Red Sox are earning 5.0 runs per contest, which ranks them 4th in baseball.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.52 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.28. Red Sox pitchers have given up 136 home runs and 556 total runs (12th in baseball). Boston has allowed 1,093 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 488 earned runs. The Red Sox are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.69 this season (5th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,098 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 436 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.02 as a team on the campaign.

The Red Sox bullpen have compiled a save rate of 61.0% and have come into the game in 132 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 177 base runners for the year and 31.1% of those players earned a run for their team. Red Sox relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 133 times in addition to having 161 appearances in high leverage situations. The Red Sox have sent 433 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season. The relief pitchers have a total of 71 holds for the season (16th in the league). They have accumulated 36 saves so far this season and have blown 23 of 59 chances to save the game.

The Baltimore Orioles have earned a total of 3,573 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,219 assists and 100 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .980 which is 29th in the majors, and they have turned 107 double plays. The Red Sox have turned 69.3% of balls in play into outs in their 10,719 innings, ranking them 21st in pro baseball.

Crochet has pitched in 385 innings and has totaled 501 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. Crochet (23-24 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 2.85 while he has gone up against 1,575 opposing hitters in the majors. His ERA is 2.90 (124 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.117. He has conceded 315 base knocks (7.4 hits per nine innings) and has 115 free passes.

Baltimore has knocked in 159 long balls this year as well as 539 RBIs. They have hit 211 doubles, while getting a free base 369 times and putting up 570 runs. The Baltimore Orioles have earned an OBP of .306 in addition to a team batting average of .241 so far this year. The Orioles have a team SLG% of .403 and they are recording 4.32 runs per contest (18th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 1,147 occasions (9th in the league) and have totaled 1,066 hits.

The Baltimore pitching staff have given up 648 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 4.69 (608 earned runs conceded). They have relinquished 179 HR's and they allow 5.00 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league). The Orioles hold a team WHIP of 1.376 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.45 as a squad for the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.40 (1,089 strikeouts vs 425 walks). They come in at 28th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,179.

With 139 save situations, the Orioles have compiled 87 holds and also 17 blown saves. Baltimore has had relievers step onto the mound in 48 save opportunities and they have come away with 31 saves. Their relievers have taken the field 135 times in high leverage situations and also on 130 occasions with runners on base. Baltimore relievers have an inherited score percentage of 26.1% out of their 176 inherited runners. They rank 8th in MLB with a save percentage of 64.6%, and they have sent 443 bullpen pitchers onto the field so far this year.

In 10,494 innings on the field, the Orioles have a efficiency on defense of 68.4% (28th in the majors). The Baltimore Orioles have turned 93 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (19th in pro baseball). The Orioles have racked up 1,157 assists, 69 errors and have accounted for 3,498 putouts during this campaign.

Povich (5-16 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 5.18 ERA while giving up 9.3 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.48 and he has gone up against 726 opposing hitters during his career. He has given up 95 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.435 and having a FIP of 5.1. So far in his MLB career, Povich has allowed 171 hits while tallying 164 punch outs in 165 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Baltimore (+125)

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