Boston Red Sox vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 7/19/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Saturday, July 19, 2025

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+162) Chicago (-196)

The Boston Red Sox (53-45) are headed to Wrigley Field on Saturday where they will take on the Chicago Cubs (57-39). The moneyline on this contest has Boston at +162 and Chicago is sitting at -196. The total is 8.5. The starting pitchers are Brayan Bello and Shota Imanaga.

As a team, the Boston Red Sox are recording 5.0 runs per game, which puts them at 5th in baseball. They have a total of 491 runs scored while having a team OBP of .326. The Red Sox have accumulated 200 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 122 balls out of the stadium. They have amassed 470 runs batted in as well as 863 base knocks on the campaign, and their average at the plate is .256. Boston is slugging .433 and have struck out 877 times, while taking a walk on 319 occasions.

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The Red Sox have an earned run average of 3.79 on the season (12th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 822 batters. Red Sox pitchers have relinquished 91 home runs and also 430 total runs (21st in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 324 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.81 as a team on the year. Boston has allowed 816 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) as well as 370 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.54 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.30.

The Red Sox relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 59.1% and have come into the game in 98 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 132 runners this year and 34.1% of them crossed home plate. Red Sox bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 97 times in addition to having 119 appearances in high leverage situations. The Red Sox have sent 318 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. The bullpen have tallied 52 holds for the season (19th in the league). They have earned 26 saves for the season and have blown 18 out of their 44 chances to get a save.

The Red Sox have converted 68.5% of balls in play into outs in their 7,908 innings, which has them ranked 25th in baseball. The Baltimore Orioles have a total of 2,636 putouts this season, as well as 908 assists and 78 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .978 which ranks 29th in baseball, and they have turned 82 double plays.

Bello (34-30 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a FIP of 4.12 while he has gone up against 2,026 hitters in the major leagues. He has conceded 480 base knocks (9.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 170 walks. His earned run average is 4.18 (217 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.391. Bello has thrown 467 innings and has 410 K's during his pro baseball career.

The Cubs hold a team slugging percentage of .446 and they score 5.33 runs per outing (2nd in baseball). They have recorded 166 doubles, while walking 331 times as well as putting up 512 runs. Chicago has recorded 142 home runs on the season to go along with 501 RBIs. They have struck out on 743 instances (26th in MLB) and have recorded 849 base knocks. The Chicago Cubs are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .325 in addition to a team batting average of .256 so far this season.

The Chicago pitching staff have given up 393 runs so far this season while holding a team ERA of 3.84 (365 earned runs given up). They have allowed 117 home runs and they surrender 4.14 runs per 9 innings (14th in the league). The Cubs have a team WHIP of 1.228 with a FIP of 4.20 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. Their K/BB ratio is 7.60 (718 strikeouts vs 257 free passes). They are currently ranked 17th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 793.

Sitting with 94 save situations, the Cubs have 58 holds in addition to 10 blown saves. Chicago has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 33 save opportunities and they have walked away with 23 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 97 times in high leverage situations in addition to 68 occasions with runners on. Chicago relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 30.1% out of 93 inherited base runners. They are ranked 5th in the league holding a save percentage of 69.7%, and they have sent 315 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the campaign.

The Chicago Cubs have gotten 79 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .989 (5th in MLB). The Cubs have accrued 813 assists, 38 errors and have a total of 2,567 putouts for the year. Out of their 7,701 innings played, the Cubs are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 71.2% (6th in MLB).

So far in his career, Imanaga has conceded 196 hits and he has 222 strikeouts in 241 frames. He has conceded 76 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 0.995 and being the owner of a FIP of 2.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 5.05 and he has faced 958 hitters during his MLB career. Imanaga (21-6 career win-loss record) has a 2.84 ERA while conceding 7.3 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston (+162)

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