Boston Red Sox vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 7/20/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Sunday, July 20, 2025

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+102) Chicago (-122)

The Chicago Cubs (57-39) host the Boston Red Sox (53-45) at Wrigley Field on Sunday. The moneyline on this contest has the Red Sox at +102 while the Cubs are at -122. The over/under is 8. The expected starting pitchers are Garrett Crochet and Matthew Boyd.

The Red Sox have compiled 200 doubles as a squad and have knocked 122 balls out of the stadium. Boston is slugging .433 and have been rung up 877 times, while drawing a walk on 319 occasions. As a unit, the Boston Red Sox are notching 5.0 runs per game, which ranks them 5th in baseball. They have 470 RBI's as well as 863 hits on the year, while their team batting average is sitting at .256. They have racked up 491 runs scored while having a team OBP of .326.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.54 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.30. Red Sox pitchers have conceded 91 home runs and also 430 total runs (21st in baseball). Boston has surrendered 816 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and also 370 earned runs. The Red Sox have an earned run average of 3.79 on the season (12th in MLB), and they have struck out 822 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 324 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.81 as a team this year.

The Red Sox relievers have accumulated a save rate of 59.1% and have come into the game in 98 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 132 base runners for the season with 34.1% of those players crossed home plate. Red Sox relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 97 times and also have had 121 appearances in high leverage situations. The Red Sox have sent 318 relief pitchers to the mound this season. The bullpen have earned 52 holds this season (19th in baseball). They have earned 26 saves for the year and have blown 18 of their 44 chances to get a save.

The Baltimore Orioles have notched a total of 2,636 putouts on the year, as well as 908 assists and 78 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .978 which is 29th in professional baseball, and have a total of 82 double plays. The Red Sox have converted 68.5% of balls in play into outs out of 7,908 innings on the field, which has them sitting 25th in pro baseball.

Crochet (19-23 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 2.85 while facing 1,424 batters during his time in the major leagues. He has given up 280 hits (7.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 107 free passes. His earned run average is 2.90 (112 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.112. Crochet has thrown 348 innings and is sitting with 454 strikeouts so far in his career.

Chicago has accumulated 142 home runs so far this year and 501 RBIs. They have notched 166 doubles, while taking a walk 331 times and notching 512 runs. The Chicago Cubs are sitting with a team OBP of .325 as well as a team batting average of .256 for the year. The Cubs hold a slugging % of .446 and they score 5.33 runs per outing (2nd in MLB). They have struck out on 743 occasions (26th in baseball) and have 849 base hits.

The Cubs have a team WHIP of 1.228 and have a FIP of 4.20 as a team for the year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 7.60 (718 strikeouts against 257 bases on balls). They come in at 17th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 793. They have conceded 117 homers and they relinquish 4.14 runs per 9 innings (14th in the league). The Chicago pitching staff have allowed 393 runs this year while having a team ERA of 3.84 (365 earned runs given up).

Chicago has called on relievers to enter the game in 33 save chances and they have come away with 23 saves. They are ranked 5th in the league holding a save rate of 69.7%, and they have dispatched 315 relievers to the mound on the year. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 97 times in high leverage situations and also on 68 occasions with runners on. Chicago relievers hold an inherited score rate of 30.1% out of 93 inherited base runners. Sitting with 94 save situations, the Cubs have accumulated 58 holds in addition to 10 blown saves.

The Chicago Cubs have gotten 79 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .989 (5th in pro baseball). The Cubs have racked up 813 assists, 38 errors and have notched a total of 2,567 putouts for the year. In their 7,701 innings on the diamond, the Cubs are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 71.2% (6th in pro baseball).

So far in his career, Boyd has given up 991 base knocks while accumulating 993 strikeouts in 1,019 innings. Boyd (56-72 career record) has a 4.57 ERA and has allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered 518 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.283 and a FIP of 4.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.13 and he has gone up against 4,336 opposing hitters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston (+102)

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