Boston Red Sox vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 8/8/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs San Diego Padres

Date: Friday, August 8, 2025

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+126) San Diego (-152)

The San Diego Padres (64-51) will compete against the Boston Red Sox (64-52) at Petco Park on Friday. The odds on this game have Boston at +126 while San Diego is at -152. The over/under is 8.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Walker Buehler and Nick Pivetta.

Boston has a slugging % of .430 and have struck out 1,033 times, while being walked on 367 occasions. They have accumulated 554 RBI's in addition to 1,010 hits on the campaign, while their average at the plate is at .254. The Red Sox have accumulated 239 two-baggers as a team and have hit 141 balls out of the stadium. They have racked up 577 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .323. As a unit, the Boston Red Sox are compiling 5.0 runs per game, which puts them at 5th in MLB.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.53 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.30. Red Sox pitchers have relinquished 118 home runs in addition to 496 total runs (15th in the league). Boston has given up 968 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) as well as 430 earned runs. The Red Sox are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.72 on the year (7th in the league), and the staff has struck out 960 hitters. They have walked 379 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.99 as a team for the season.

The Red Sox have dispatched 379 relievers to the hill this season. The relievers have inherited 154 base runners on the campaign with 31.8% of those players ended up scoring. They have compiled 32 saves on the year and have blown 22 out of their 54 save chances. The Red Sox relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 59.3% and have stepped onto the mound in 120 save situations. The relievers have racked up 64 holds this season (16th in baseball). Red Sox pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 117 times in addition to having 142 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Baltimore Orioles have a total of 3,120 putouts this season, as well as 1,067 assists and 93 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .978 which is 30th in pro baseball, and they have turned 97 double plays. The Red Sox have transformed 68.8% of balls hit into play into outs in their 9,360 innings on the field, which has them ranked 26th in baseball.

Buehler has taken the ball for 807 innings and has totaled 825 K's so far in his pro baseball career. Buehler (53-28 career mark) sits with a FIP of 3.50 while he has faced 3,329 opposing batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 3.56 (319 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.150. He has conceded 694 hits (7.7 hits per nine innings) and has 234 walks.

The Padres hold a slugging percentage of .382 and they average 4.14 runs per contest (24th in MLB). They have tallied 177 two-baggers, while taking a walk 367 times as well as notching 476 runs. San Diego has tallied 98 home runs this year as well as 447 runs batted in. They have struck out on 807 occasions (28th in the league) and have tallied 966 hits. The San Diego Padres have an OBP of .320 in addition to a team batting average of .251 so far this season.

The Padres have a team WHIP of 1.208 in addition to having a FIP of 3.88 as a unit so far this season. They come in at 1st in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 856. The San Diego pitching staff have yielded 438 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.58 (404 earned runs surrendered). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.70 (978 strikeouts vs 373 free passes). They have given up 113 home runs and they give up 3.88 runs per 9 innings (3rd in the league).

Sitting with 135 save situations, the Padres have compiled 79 holds and also 14 blown saves. San Diego has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 53 save chances and they have come away with 39 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 163 times in high leverage situations in addition to 134 occasions with base runners. San Diego relievers have an inherited score percentage of 28.6% of 189 inherited base runners. They sit at 2nd in MLB holding a save rate of 73.6%, and they have sent 405 relief pitchers to the hill on the season.

The San Diego Padres have turned 89 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in the majors). The Padres have accrued 880 assists, 54 errors and have earned a total of 3,051 putouts for the year. In 9,153 innings on the diamond, the Padres are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 71.5% (2nd in the majors).

In his MLB career, Pivetta has allowed 1,067 hits and he has 1,275 punch outs in 1,157 innings. Pivetta (67-74 career mark) holds a 4.53 earned run average and has allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 583 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.275 and a FIP of 4.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.12 and he has gone up against 4,890 hitters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston (+126)

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