Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 9/23/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Tuesday, September 23, 2025

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+102) Toronto (-122)

The Toronto Blue Jays (90-66) will try to beat the Boston Red Sox (85-71) at Rogers Centre on Tuesday. The odds on this game have Boston at +102 while Toronto is coming in at -122. The total has been set at 9. The men taking the mound will be Lucas Giolito and Kevin Gausman.

The Red Sox have hit 307 doubles as a team and have hit 182 balls out of the stadium. Boston is slugging .423 and have been rung up 1,350 times, while being walked on 499 occasions. As a team, the Boston Red Sox are putting up 4.9 runs per outing, which is 5th in the league. They have tallied 724 RBI's as well as 1,355 base knocks so far this season, while their team batting average is at .254. They have a total of 762 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .324.

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The Red Sox have compiled a team ERA of 3.74 this year (6th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,302 hitters. Red Sox pitchers have conceded 159 long balls in addition to 653 runs in total (11th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 506 batters and their FIP comes in at 4.01 as a unit for the year. Boston has allowed 1,285 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 576 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.57 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.29.

The Red Sox relievers have a save percentage of 60.6% and have entered the game in 155 save situations. The relievers have inherited 208 runners this season with 32.7% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. Red Sox relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 152 times and also have had 186 appearances in high leverage situations. The Red Sox have sent 513 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. The relief pitchers have notched 82 holds this season (18th in MLB). They have accumulated 43 saves so far this season and have blown 28 out of their 71 save opportunities.

The Red Sox have converted 69.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of 12,486 innings, which has them sitting 23rd in the majors. The Baltimore Orioles have earned 4,162 putouts so far this season, as well as 1,406 assists and 111 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .980 which has them ranked 30th in pro baseball, and they have turned 124 double plays.

Giolito has pitched in 1,153 innings and has earned 1,195 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.32 (553 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.258. He has surrendered 1,014 base hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) and has 437 free passes. Giolito (71-66 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.25 while he has gone up against 4,850 opposing hitters in the majors.

The Blue Jays hold a team slugging % of .426 and they earn 4.90 runs per outing (6th in the league). They have notched 280 doubles, while taking a walk 498 times as well as earning 760 runs. Toronto has accounted for 182 HRs on the campaign to go along with 734 RBIs. They have struck out on 1,049 occasions (29th in baseball) and have recorded 1,405 hits. The Toronto Blue Jays are sitting with an OBP of .334 and a batting average of .266 on the year.

The Blue Jays have a team WHIP of 1.272 with a FIP of 4.32 as a unit this year. They come in at 13th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,256. The Toronto pitching staff have allowed 697 runs this year while holding a team ERA of 4.22 (644 earned runs relinquished). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.90 (1,367 strikeouts against 493 bases on balls). They have surrendered 204 long balls and they allow 4.56 runs per 9 innings (19th in the league).

Sitting with 160 save situations, the Blue Jays have earned 91 holds and also 23 blown saves. Toronto has called on relief pitchers to step onto the hill in 63 save chances and they have walked away with 40 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 153 times in high leverage situations and also on 170 occasions with base runners. Toronto relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 28.1% out of 242 inherited base runners. They rank 16th in the league with a save rate of 63.5%, and they have sent 540 relief pitchers to the mound for the year.

The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 110 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (21st in the majors). The Blue Jays have accrued 1,206 assists, 84 errors and have 4,125 putouts so far this season. Out of their 12,375 innings on the diamond, the Blue Jays have a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (14th in MLB).

Thus far in his career, Gausman has allowed 1,818 hits while tallying 1,942 strikeouts in 1,901 frames. He has given up a total of 802 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.236 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.65 and he has gone up against 7,939 opposing hitters in his career. Gausman (112-112 career mark) holds a 3.80 ERA while surrendering 8.6 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston (+102)

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