Boston Red Sox vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 7/4/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Washington Nationals

Date: Friday, July 4, 2025

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-145) Washington (+125)

The Boston Red Sox (42-44) are hitting the road to Nationals Park on Friday where they will go up against the Washington Nationals (35-49). The moneyline on this contest has Boston at -145 and Washington is opening at +125. The total is 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Lucas Giolito and Michael Soroka.

Boston is slugging .421 and have been called out on strikes 795 times, while being walked on 290 occasions. They have earned 393 RBI's and 741 base knocks this season, and their batting average sits at .250. The Red Sox have hit 163 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 106 balls out of the park. They have racked up 412 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .323. As a team, the Boston Red Sox are putting up 4.8 runs per game, which has them at 6th in the league.

Get all of our MLB Picks Today

They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.43 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.33. Red Sox pitchers have allowed 85 home runs and 395 runs in total (23rd in baseball). Boston has conceded 727 base hits (8.5 per 9 innings) in addition to 343 earned runs. The Red Sox hold a team ERA of 4.01 on the year (18th in the league), and their staff has struck out 727 hitters. They have walked 299 opposing players and their FIP is 3.94 as a unit this season.

The Red Sox have dispatched 283 relievers to the hill this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 115 runners for the season with 34.8% of them earned a run for their team. They have earned 22 saves this season and have not converted 17 of their 39 save chances. The Red Sox relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 56.4% and have come into the game in 83 save situations. The bullpen have racked up 42 holds this season (23rd in the league). Red Sox bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 86 times as well as having 110 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Red Sox have converted 68.1% of balls hit into play into outs in their 6,936 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 25th in the majors. The Baltimore Orioles have notched a total of 2,312 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 783 assists and 71 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .978 which has them ranked 29th in MLB, and they have turned 74 double plays.

Giolito has pitched in 1,071 frames and has racked up 1,128 K's in his MLB career. Giolito (65-63 career record) has a FIP of 4.34 while he has gone up against 4,506 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.41 (525 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.259. He has allowed 946 base knocks (7.9 hits per nine innings) and has had 403 walks.

The Washington Nationals have an OBP of .311 in addition to a batting average of .244 this year. They have been called out on strikes on 634 occasions (27th in baseball) and are sitting with 688 base hits. Washington has recorded 85 HRs this season and 350 runs batted in. The Nationals hold a team SLG% of .392 and they average 4.36 runs per outing (14th in the league). They have recorded 141 doubles, while walking 243 times as well as scoring 366 runs.

The Nationals have a team WHIP of 1.386 with a FIP of 4.45 as a staff this year. They are currently ranked 26th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 744. The Washington pitching staff have given up 434 runs so far this year while having an ERA of 5.01 (412 earned runs yielded). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.00 (659 strikeouts vs 282 free passes). They have surrendered 102 long balls and they concede 5.28 runs per 9 innings (27th in baseball).

Washington has called on relievers to enter the game in 31 save opportunities and they have earned 19 saves. They sit at 18th in the league holding a save percentage of 61.3%, and they have dispatched 284 relievers onto the diamond for the season. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 70 times in high leverage situations and also on 91 occasions with runners on base. Washington bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 41.8% out of 158 inherited runners. Sitting with 66 save situations, the Nationals have accrued 35 holds and 12 blown saves.

In 6,660 innings played, the Nationals have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.6% (23rd in baseball). The Washington Nationals have turned 63 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .985 (21st in the majors). The Nationals have recorded 705 assists, 44 errors and have notched a total of 2,220 putouts for the year.

Soroka (20-23 career mark) has a 3.83 earned run average while conceding 8.0 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.76 and he has faced 1,606 hitters in his MLB career. He has given up a total of 164 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.215 and having a FIP of 3.8. So far in his pro baseball career, Soroka has conceded 342 hits while totaling 348 K's in 385 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-145)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here