Boston Red Sox vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 7/5/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Washington Nationals

Date: Saturday, July 5, 2025

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-122) Washington (+102)

The Washington Nationals (36-50) will go up against the Boston Red Sox (43-45) at Nationals Park on Saturday. The odds on this game have Boston at -122 and Washington is at +102. The total is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Walker Buehler and Mitchell Parker.

Boston owns a slugging percentage of .422 and have been called out on strikes 811 times, while drawing a walk on 292 occasions. They have tallied 402 runs batted in and 760 base knocks so far this season, and their average at the plate is at .251. The Red Sox have tallied 172 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 107 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 421 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .323. As a unit, the Boston Red Sox are knocking in 4.8 runs/g, which is 6th in baseball.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.43 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.33. Red Sox pitchers have conceded 87 home runs and also 406 total runs (23rd in baseball). Boston has surrendered 743 base hits (8.5 per 9 innings) in addition to 351 earned runs. The Red Sox have a team ERA of 4.01 on the campaign (18th in baseball), and they have struck out 738 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 304 hitters and their FIP is 3.96 as a squad over the course of the season.

The Red Sox relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 56.1% and have come into the game in 86 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 120 runners so far this year with 33.3% of those players crossed the plate. Red Sox relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 90 times as well as having 113 appearances in high leverage situations. The Red Sox have sent 290 relief pitchers to the hill this season. The relievers have tallied 43 holds over the course of the season (22nd in baseball). They have accumulated 23 saves on the year and have missed out on 18 of their 41 save chances.

The Red Sox have converted 68.2% of balls in play into outs in their 7,098 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 25th in pro baseball. The Baltimore Orioles have amassed 2,366 putouts thus far, in addition to 811 assists and 72 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .978 which has them ranked 29th in pro baseball, and they have turned 76 double plays.

Buehler (52-28 career mark) holds a FIP of 3.49 and he has gone up against 3,209 batters during his time in the major leagues. He has allowed 662 base hits (7.6 hits per nine innings) and has had 222 free passes. His earned run average is 3.54 (307 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.133. Buehler has taken the ball for 780 innings and has racked up 813 K's so far in his career.

Washington has tallied 85 HRs this season as well as 361 RBIs. They have recorded 142 doubles, while taking a walk 252 times as well as scoring 377 runs. The Washington Nationals have accounted for an OBP of .312 in addition to a batting average of .245 on the year. The Nationals have a SLG% of .391 and they are scoring 4.38 runs per contest (14th in the league). They have struck out on 654 occasions (27th in the league) and have tallied 708 hits.

The Nationals have a team WHIP of 1.393 in addition to having a FIP of 4.47 as a team on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.00 (676 strikeouts against 289 bases on balls). They come in at 27th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 767. They have surrendered 106 home runs and they yield 5.33 runs per 9 innings (28th in the league). The Washington pitching staff have conceded 449 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 5.07 (427 earned runs relinquished).

Washington has called on relievers to take the mound in 32 save chances and they have tallied 19 saves. They are currently ranked 20th in MLB with a save percentage of 59.4%, and they have sent 291 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 72 times in high leverage situations and on 93 occasions with runners on. Washington relievers have an inherited score percentage of 42.2% out of 161 inherited base runners. With 68 save situations, the Nationals have compiled 36 holds and 13 blown saves.

In their 6,822 innings played, the Nationals have a efficiency on defense of 68.6% (24th in the majors). The Washington Nationals have gotten 63 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .986 (21st in baseball). The Nationals have 717 assists, 44 errors and have accumulated 2,274 putouts over the course of the season.

During his pro baseball career, Parker has allowed 241 hits while accumulating 195 punch outs in 242 innings pitched. He has given up 119 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.322 and a FIP of 4.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.47 and he has faced 1,039 hitters thus far in his career. Parker (12-18 mark in his career) holds a 4.42 ERA while allowing 9.0 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-122)

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