Chicago Cubs vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 7/10/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Thursday, July 10, 2025

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Twins.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (-152) Minnesota (+126)

Target Field is the site where the Minnesota Twins (43-47) will compete against the Chicago Cubs (54-36) on Thursday. The odds on this game have Chicago at -152 and Minnesota is coming in at +126. The total has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Colin Rea and Chris Paddack.

Chicago has a slugging percentage of .451 and have been called out on strikes 700 times, while taking a walk on 315 occasions. They have accrued 481 RBI's as well as 802 base knocks on the year, and their batting average is at .257. The Cubs have accounted for 158 doubles as a unit and have hit 136 baseballs out of the park. They have notched a total of 492 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .328. As a team, the Chicago Cubs are compiling 5.5 runs per contest, which ranks them 1st in MLB.

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The Cubs have compiled a team ERA of 3.78 for the season (13th in the league), and their staff has rung up 676 hitters. Cubs pitchers have given up 107 home runs in addition to 366 runs (12th in MLB). They have walked 246 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.16 as a squad so far this year. Chicago has surrendered 745 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and also 338 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.75 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.23.

The Cubs bullpen have earned a save percentage of 67.7% and have come into the game in 91 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 90 base runners on the year and 31.1% of them crossed the plate. Cubs relief pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 66 times as well as having 97 appearances in high leverage situations. The Cubs have dispatched 301 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. The relief pitchers have recorded 57 holds this season (10th in the league). They have recorded 21 saves this year and have missed out on 10 of 31 save opportunities.

The Boston Red Sox have earned a total of 2,414 putouts this year, as well as 765 assists and 39 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .988 which has them sitting 7th in professional baseball, and they have turned 76 double plays. The Cubs have turned 71.1% of balls in play into outs out of their 7,242 innings, which has them sitting at 6th in MLB.

Rea has taken the ball for 531 innings and has 426 K's during his pro baseball career. Rea (32-23 career mark) has earned a FIP of 4.44 and he has faced 2,260 hitters in the majors. His ERA is 4.51 (266 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.280. He has conceded 521 base hits (8.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 159 free passes.

The Twins hold a team slugging percentage of .391 and they score 4.16 runs per contest (22nd in baseball). They have recorded 138 doubles, while walking 262 times as well as recording 374 runs. Minnesota has knocked in 102 home runs on the year as well as 360 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 750 occasions (16th in MLB) and have earned a total of 719 base hits. The Minnesota Twins have earned an OBP of .309 in addition to a team batting average of .239 this season.

The Twins hold a team WHIP of 1.253 and have a FIP of 3.72 as a pitching staff so far this year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.70 (766 strikeouts against 234 walks). They come in at 19th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 755. They have allowed 93 HR's and they relinquish 4.47 runs per 9 innings (20th in baseball). The Minnesota pitching staff have given up 392 runs over the course of the season while having a team ERA of 4.15 (364 earned runs surrendered).

With 91 save situations, the Twins have amassed 58 holds and also 14 blown saves. Minnesota has had relievers take the mound in 31 save opportunities and they have come away with 17 saves. Their relievers have come in 108 times in high leverage situations and on 65 occasions with base runners. Minnesota relievers have an inherited score percentage of 35.9% out of 92 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 25th in MLB with a save rate of 54.8%, and they have dispatched 306 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign.

In 7,101 innings played, the Twins have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (23rd in professional baseball). The Minnesota Twins have turned 45 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (20th in pro baseball). The Twins have 668 assists, 45 errors and have earned a total of 2,367 putouts during this campaign.

In his pro baseball career, Paddack has surrendered 507 base knocks and he has 485 strikeouts in 518 innings pitched. He has allowed 255 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.196 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.4. His K/BB ratio is 4.29 and he has gone up against 2,171 hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Paddack (30-31 career mark) holds a 4.43 ERA and has surrendered 8.8 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (+126)

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