Chicago Cubs vs New York Yankees Prediction, 7/11/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs New York Yankees

Date: Friday, July 11, 2025

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (-210) New York (+172)

The Chicago Cubs (54-36) are on their way to Yankee Stadium on Friday where they will meet the New York Yankees (49-41). The odds on this game have Chicago at -210 and New York is coming in at +172. The total has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Chris Flexen and Carlos Rodon.

As a team, the Chicago Cubs are putting up 5.5 runs per contest, which ranks them 1st in MLB. They have earned 492 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .328. The Cubs have hit 158 doubles as a unit and have knocked 136 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 481 RBI's as well as 802 base knocks over the course of the season, and their batting average is .257. Chicago is slugging .451 and have struck out 700 times, while taking a walk on 315 occasions.

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The Cubs have an earned run average of 3.78 over the course of the season (13th in the league), and the staff has struck out 676 batters. Cubs pitchers have allowed 107 home runs in addition to 366 runs (12th in the league). They have walked 246 opposing players and their FIP is 4.16 as a team this season. Chicago has surrendered 745 base knocks (8.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 338 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.75 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.23.

The Cubs relievers have recorded a save rate of 67.7% and have come into the game in 91 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 90 base runners on the year and 31.1% of those players earned a run for their team. Cubs relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 66 times as well as having 97 appearances in high leverage situations. The Cubs have sent 301 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. The relievers have 57 holds this year (10th in MLB). They have recorded 21 saves on the year and have not converted 10 of their 31 save chances.

The Cubs have transformed 71.1% of balls in play into outs in their 7,242 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 6th in pro baseball. The Boston Red Sox have accumulated 2,414 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 765 assists and 39 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .988 which is 7th in MLB, and have a total of 76 double plays.

Flexen (35-49 mark in his career) has a FIP of 4.68 while going up against 2,969 opposing hitters in the majors. He has allowed 741 base hits (9.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 254 walks. His ERA is 4.76 (359 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.465. Flexen has taken the ball for 679 innings and has totaled 483 strikeouts so far in his MLB career.

The New York Yankees have accumulated an OBP of .337 and a team batting average of .255 so far this season. They have been rung up on 801 instances (5th in MLB) and have tallied 782 base hits. New York has accounted for 140 HRs on the campaign to go along with 442 runs batted in. The Yankees have a SLG% of .453 and they average 5.13 runs per game (4th in MLB). They have put up 158 two-baggers, while taking a walk 358 times as well as earning 462 runs.

The Yankees are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.218 and have a FIP of 3.86 as a staff for the year. Their K/BB ratio is 9.20 (809 strikeouts vs 301 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 1st in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 666. They have relinquished 95 long balls and they relinquish 4.16 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB). The New York pitching staff have relinquished 367 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 3.84 (339 earned runs relinquished).

Sitting with 86 save situations, the Yankees have earned 51 holds and 10 blown saves. New York has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 34 save chances and they have converted 24 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 88 times in high leverage situations in addition to 97 occasions with base runners. New York relievers have an inherited score percentage of 25.3% out of their 150 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 5th in MLB with a save percentage of 70.6%, and they have dispatched 293 relief pitchers onto the field on the season.

In 7,152 innings played, the Yankees have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.3% (4th in baseball). The New York Yankees have gotten 58 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .986 (15th in the majors). The Yankees have 763 assists, 44 errors and are sitting with 2,384 putouts for the season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Rodon has surrendered 1,028 hits while he has accumulated 1,333 punch outs in 1,197 innings pitched. Rodon (84-69 mark in his career) has earned a 3.80 ERA and has conceded 7.7 hits per nine innings. He has given up 506 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.229 and having a FIP of 3.7. His K/BB ratio is 3.00 and he has faced 5,038 batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Chicago (-210)

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