Chicago Cubs vs New York Yankees Prediction, 7/12/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs New York Yankees

Date: Saturday, July 12, 2025

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (-122) New York (+102)

The New York Yankees (52-41) will compete against the Chicago Cubs (55-38) at Yankee Stadium on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has Chicago at -122 while New York is coming in at +102. The over/under has been set at 9. The starting pitchers will be Matthew Boyd and Max Fried.

The Cubs have accrued 162 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 139 baseballs out of the park. Chicago has a slugging percentage of .448 and have been called out on strikes 721 times, while being walked on 323 occasions. As a unit, the Chicago Cubs are knocking in 5.4 runs per outing, which has them at 1st in MLB. They have amassed 492 runs batted in as well as 826 hits on the year, while their average at the plate is .257. They have a total of 503 runs and have an OBP of .326.

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The Cubs have compiled a team earned run average of 3.81 on the season (12th in the league), and their staff has rung up 696 batters. Cubs pitchers have allowed 112 long balls in addition to 379 total runs (13th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 252 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.19 as a team for the year. Chicago has given up 770 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) in addition to 351 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.76 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.23.

Cubs pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 67 times as well as having 97 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have earned 57 holds on the season (10th in baseball). The Cubs relievers have compiled a save rate of 67.7% and have entered the game in 91 save situations. They have earned 21 saves this year and have missed out on 10 of 31 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 92 runners for the year and 30.4% of those runners crossed home plate. The Cubs have dispatched 309 relief pitchers to the hill this season.

The Cubs have converted 71.1% of balls in play into outs out of their 7,467 innings, which has them ranked 9th in baseball. The Boston Red Sox have 2,489 putouts on the year, in addition to 791 assists and 38 errors. Their fielding rate is at .989 which has them ranked 6th in MLB, and have earned 77 double plays.

Boyd (55-72 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 4.54 and he has gone up against 4,309 batters in the major leagues. He has given up 987 base hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) and has 317 walks. His earned run average is 4.61 (518 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.289. Boyd has taken the mound for 1,011 innings and has earned 987 K's so far in his pro baseball career.

The New York Yankees have recorded an OBP of .338 and a team batting average of .257 on the year. They have been rung up on 820 occasions (6th in MLB) and have notched a total of 814 hits. New York has recorded 146 HRs for the season to go along with 467 runs batted in. The Yankees hold a slugging % of .455 and they earn 5.24 runs per contest (3rd in the league). They have hit 163 two-baggers, while taking a walk 368 times and putting up 487 runs.

The Yankees are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.216 in addition to having a FIP of 3.90 as a pitching staff this year. They come in at 2nd in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 689. The New York pitching staff have allowed 381 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.86 (353 earned runs relinquished). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.20 (837 strikeouts against 311 bases on balls). They have allowed 101 home runs and they relinquish 4.17 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB).

New York has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 35 save chances and they have tallied 25 saves. They are ranked 5th in baseball with a save percentage of 71.4%, and they have dispatched 304 relievers to the mound this year. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 90 times in high leverage situations in addition to 101 occasions with runners on. New York relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 25.3% out of 154 inherited base runners. Sitting with 89 save situations, the Yankees have recorded 53 holds in addition to 10 blown saves.

In their 7,404 innings on the diamond, the Yankees have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.5% (3rd in professional baseball). The New York Yankees have turned 60 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (14th in the majors). The Yankees have 788 assists, 44 errors and have a total of 2,468 putouts over the course of the season.

In his pro baseball career, Fried has surrendered 873 base hits while he has earned 974 strikeouts in 1,003 frames. He has surrendered 332 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.139 and having a FIP of 2.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.61 and he has faced 4,085 hitters thus far in his career. Fried (84-38 career mark) has earned a 2.98 earned run average and has allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Chicago (-122)

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