Chicago White Sox vs New York Mets Prediction, 5/27/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago White Sox vs New York Mets

Date: Tuesday, May 27, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+125) New York (-145)

Citi Field is the location where the New York Mets (32-21) will meet the Chicago White Sox (17-36) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this game has Chicago at +125 while New York is coming in at -145. The total comes in at 9. The pitchers expected to start will be Shane Smith and Tylor Megill.

As a unit, the Chicago White Sox are notching 3.4 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 26th in the league. They are sitting with 182 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .291. The White Sox have accounted for 74 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 44 baseballs out of the park. They have amassed 177 runs batted in as well as 381 base knocks for the year, while their team batting average comes in at .221. Chicago owns a slugging percentage of .343 and have struck out 448 times, while being walked on 163 occasions.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 1.89 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.37. White Sox pitchers have surrendered 56 home runs in addition to 232 runs (19th in MLB). Chicago has relinquished 426 base knocks (8.4 per 9 innings) and 208 earned runs. The White Sox have compiled a team earned run average of 4.10 this season (21st in baseball), and their staff has struck out 377 batters. They have walked 200 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.57 as a team so far this season.

The White Sox have sent 174 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 77 runners for the year and 32.5% of them ended up crossing the plate. They have recorded 5 saves this season and have blown 10 of their 15 save chances. The White Sox relievers have recorded a save percentage of 33.3% and have entered the game in 42 save situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 27 holds on the season (23rd in MLB). White Sox pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 53 times as well as having 48 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Chicago Cubs have earned 1,369 putouts thus far, as well as 435 assists and 41 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .978 which ranks 29th in pro baseball, and have a total of 42 double plays. The White Sox have converted 70.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 4,107 innings on the field, which has them sitting 14th in pro baseball.

Smith (1-3 record in his career) holds a FIP of 2.34 while facing 223 opposing batters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 41 base knocks (6.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 18 walks. His ERA is 2.37 (14 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.111. Smith has pitched in 53 innings and has racked up 49 strikeouts in his career.

The New York Mets are sitting with an on-base percentage of .328 and a batting average of .245 so far this year. They have been called out on strikes on 404 occasions (25th in baseball) and have accounted for 431 hits. New York has accumulated 55 HRs so far this year to go along with 222 runs batted in. The Mets hold a team slugging % of .404 and they earn 4.36 runs per game (12th in MLB). They have hit 90 doubles, while walking 194 times and putting up 231 runs.

The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.244 and have a FIP of 3.34 as a squad this season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.10 (476 strikeouts vs 190 free passes). They sit at 5th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 396. They have relinquished 34 dingers and they concede 3.29 runs per 9 innings (1st in the league). The New York pitching staff have conceded 172 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 2.81 (147 earned runs conceded).

Sitting with 61 save situations, the Mets have amassed 38 holds and 8 blown saves. New York has had relievers take the mound in 23 save chances and they have tallied 15 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 68 times in high leverage situations and on 50 occasions with base runners. New York relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 31.1% out of their 74 inherited base runners. They are ranked 11th in baseball holding a save percentage of 65.2%, and they have sent 169 relievers onto the diamond on the year.

In their 4,239 innings on the field, the Mets have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (17th in pro baseball). The New York Mets have gotten 43 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in professional baseball). The Mets have accrued 472 assists, 26 errors and have 1,413 putouts for the year.

So far in his career, Megill has allowed 387 hits and he has 412 punch outs in 389 innings pitched. He has conceded a total of 192 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.388 and a FIP of 4.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.69 and he has gone up against 1,696 hitters during his MLB career. Megill (24-25 mark in his career) has a 4.44 ERA while giving up 9.0 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-145)

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