Chicago White Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 7/20/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago White Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Sunday, July 20, 2025

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+106) Pittsburgh (-128)

The Chicago White Sox (32-65) are en route to PNC Park on Sunday where they will take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (39-58). The line on this contest has Chicago at +106 and Pittsburgh is priced at -128. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Aaron Civale and Andrew Heaney.

Chicago has a slugging rate of .344 and have been rung up 830 times, while being walked on 318 occasions. They have 317 RBI's as well as 694 hits on the campaign, while their average at the plate comes in at .220. The White Sox have tallied 146 doubles as a unit and have hit 76 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 332 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .294. As a squad, the Chicago White Sox are putting up 3.4 runs per game, which has them sitting at 28th in baseball.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 1.97 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.38. White Sox pitchers have given up 106 home runs and 430 runs in total (22nd in the league). Chicago has conceded 810 base hits (8.6 per 9 innings) and 389 earned runs. The White Sox are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.15 for the season (21st in MLB), and their staff has rung up 696 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 354 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.52 as a squad for the year.

The White Sox have sent 301 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 124 runners on the year with 28.2% of those runners crossed the plate. They have earned 12 saves so far this year and have not converted 16 out of their 28 save chances. The White Sox relievers have recorded a save rate of 42.9% and have come into the game in 70 save situations. The relief pitchers have notched 42 holds this season (27th in MLB). White Sox relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 86 times in addition to having 88 appearances in high leverage situations.

The White Sox have converted 69.9% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 7,593 innings on the field, which has them sitting 17th in baseball. The Chicago Cubs have earned 2,531 putouts this year, in addition to 799 assists and 58 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .983 which has them ranked 25th in baseball, and have a total of 81 double plays.

Civale (40-41 career record) holds a FIP of 4.07 while he has gone up against 2,872 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has allowed 650 hits (8.5 hits per 9 innings) with 192 free passes. His ERA is 4.13 (316 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.223. Civale has taken the ball for 688 frames and is sitting with 613 strikeouts so far in his career.

The Pirates have a team slugging percentage of .339 and they tally 3.36 runs per contest (30th in the league). They have notched 126 two-baggers, while taking a walk 303 times and scoring 326 runs. Pittsburgh has tallied 66 home runs so far this year as well as 315 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 845 occasions (6th in the league) and have 736 hits. The Pittsburgh Pirates are sitting with a team OBP of .300 as well as a team batting average of .230 for the season.

The Pittsburgh pitching staff have surrendered 379 runs on the season while having a team ERA of 3.73 (354 earned runs allowed). They have given up 92 home runs and they concede 4.00 runs per 9 innings (8th in baseball). The Pirates hold a team WHIP of 1.203 and have a FIP of 3.90 as a unit on the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 7.60 (720 strikeouts vs 278 free passes). They rank 7th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 748.

Pittsburgh bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 32.9% out of their 140 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 98 times in high leverage situations and on 89 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 79 save situations, the Pirates have 43 holds and 15 blown saves. They rank 26th in MLB with a save percentage of 55.9%, and they have dispatched 296 relief pitchers onto the field so far this season. Pittsburgh has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 34 save opportunities and they have walked away with 19 saves.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have turned 77 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (10th in the majors). The Pirates have recorded 832 assists, 44 errors and have accumulated 2,561 putouts over the course of the season. In their 7,683 innings played, the Pirates have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.7% (2nd in baseball).

So far in his career, Heaney has conceded 1,074 hits while earning 1,143 strikeouts in 1,112 frames. He has surrendered 552 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.264 and a FIP of 4.4. His K/BB ratio is 3.44 and he has faced 4,741 opposing batters so far in his MLB career. Heaney (55-70 career mark) has a 4.47 earned run average while conceding 8.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (-128)

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