Chicago White Sox vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, 8/7/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago White Sox vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Thursday, August 7, 2025

Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA

TV: Root Sports Northwest

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+120) Seattle (-144)

The Chicago White Sox (42-71) are on their way to T-Mobile Park on Thursday where they will meet the Seattle Mariners (61-53). The line on this matchup has Chicago at +120 while Seattle is priced at -144. The over/under comes in at 9. The starting pitchers will be Shane Smith and Logan Gilbert.

The White Sox have hit 177 doubles as a team and have hit 107 balls out of the stadium. Chicago is slugging .368 and have been rung up 941 times, while being walked on 356 occasions. As a team, the Chicago White Sox are putting up 3.8 runs/g, which is 27th in MLB. They have accumulated 415 RBI's and 852 base knocks this season, and their average at the plate sits at .229. They have earned a total of 431 runs while holding a team OBP of .299.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.03 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.37. White Sox pitchers have conceded 121 home runs in addition to 499 total runs (19th in the league). Chicago has conceded 933 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) in addition to 450 earned runs. The White Sox hold a team earned run average of 4.11 on the campaign (18th in the league), and they have rung up 840 batters. They have walked 414 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.45 as a unit on the season.

White Sox pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 103 times as well as having 100 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 48 holds over the course of the season (25th in the league). The White Sox bullpen have recorded a save rate of 46.9% and have entered the game in 80 save situations. They have earned 15 saves this year and have blown 17 of their 32 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 153 base runners so far this year with 29.4% of them crossed the plate. The White Sox have sent 355 relievers to the hill for the year.

The Chicago Cubs have a tally of 2,955 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 934 assists and 69 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .983 which has them sitting 27th in baseball, and they have turned 96 double plays. The White Sox have converted 69.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 8,865 innings, ranking them 16th in pro baseball.

Smith (3-7 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.19 and he has faced 395 batters in the majors. He has conceded 78 hits (7.7 hits per nine innings) with 41 walks. His ERA is 4.25 (43 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.308. Smith has taken the hill for 91 innings and has totaled 85 strikeouts thus far in his career.

The Seattle Mariners hold a team on-base percentage of .320 and a batting average of .244 over the course of the season. They have been rung up on 1,013 occasions (4th in MLB) and have tallied 951 base knocks. Seattle has 162 long balls over the course of the season to go along with 498 RBIs. The Mariners have a SLG% of .411 and they average 4.55 runs per contest (11th in MLB). They have recorded 154 two-baggers, while taking a walk 384 times as well as scoring 519 runs.

The Seattle pitching staff have conceded 492 runs so far this year while having an ERA of 3.83 (440 earned runs surrendered). They have surrendered 130 homers and they give up 4.29 runs per 9 innings (16th in baseball). The Mariners are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.240 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.04 as a squad on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.40 (963 strikeouts against 344 bases on balls). They rank 20th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 937.

Sitting with 106 save situations, the Mariners have accrued 60 holds in addition to 19 blown saves. Seattle has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 46 save chances and they have walked away with 27 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 160 times in high leverage situations in addition to 96 occasions with base runners. Seattle relievers hold an inherited score rate of 25.2% of 103 inherited base runners. They are ranked 22nd in the league holding a save percentage of 58.7%, and they have sent 380 bullpen pitchers onto the field so far this year.

The Seattle Mariners have turned 87 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .989 (4th in MLB). The Mariners have recorded 968 assists, 45 errors and have a tally of 3,101 putouts during this campaign. In their 9,303 innings on the field, the Mariners hold a defensive efficiency of 70.7% (10th in baseball).

During his career, Gilbert has conceded 658 base hits while totaling 823 strikeouts in 782 frames. Gilbert (44-34 career mark) has earned a 3.59 earned run average while giving up 7.6 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 312 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.056 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. His K/BB ratio is 4.90 and he has gone up against 3,158 batters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Seattle (-144)

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