Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 5/5/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Monday, May 5, 2025

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: FanDuel Sports Network South

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (-160) Atlanta (+132)

The Cincinnati Reds (17-15) are on their way to Truist Park on Monday where they will try to beat the Atlanta Braves (14-16). The moneyline on this matchup has the Reds at -160 and the Braves are at +132. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Brady Singer and AJ Smith-Shawver.

Cincinnati has a slugging percentage of .395 and have been rung up 271 times, while taking a walk on 114 occasions. They have 157 RBI's and 269 hits so far this year, and their batting average sits at .249. The Reds have recorded 49 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 35 balls out of the park. They have 163 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .327. As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are recording 5.1 runs per game, which puts them at 5th in baseball.

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The Reds hold a team ERA of 3.53 on the season (8th in the league), and the staff has struck out 256 hitters. Reds pitchers have surrendered 42 home runs and also 126 runs (12th in MLB). They have walked 96 batters and their FIP sits at 4.30 as a team so far this year. Cincinnati has allowed 214 hits (6.8 per 9 innings) in addition to 111 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.67 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.10.

The Reds have dispatched 103 relief pitchers to the hill this season. The relievers have inherited 36 base runners this year with 25.0% of them ended up crossing the plate. They have recorded 10 saves so far this season and have blown 4 of their 14 chances to get a save. The Reds relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 71.4% and have come into the game in 40 save situations. The bullpen have 25 holds this season (5th in MLB). Reds bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 23 times in addition to having 29 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Chicago White Sox are sitting with 850 putouts this season, as well as 229 assists and 18 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .984 which ranks 19th in the majors, and have a total of 16 double plays. The Reds have transformed 75.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 2,550 innings on the field, ranking them 1st in pro baseball.

Singer (40-45 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.17 and he has faced 3,069 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has surrendered 719 base knocks (9.0 hits per nine innings) and has had 226 free passes. His ERA is 4.24 (338 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.316. Singer has thrown 718 frames and has earned 681 K's so far in his career.

Atlanta has compiled 35 home runs on the year as well as 121 runs batted in. They have hit 44 doubles, while walking 106 times as well as scoring 127 runs. The Atlanta Braves hold a team on-base percentage of .320 as well as a batting average of .245 this season. The Braves have a team SLG% of .396 and they are earning 4.23 runs per contest (15th in MLB). They have been rung up on 255 instances (15th in MLB) and have 249 base hits.

The Braves have a WHIP of 1.292 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.37 as a staff this year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.50 (245 strikeouts against 103 bases on balls). They come in at 6th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 233. They have relinquished 38 long balls and they relinquish 4.36 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB). The Atlanta pitching staff have conceded 126 runs this season while holding an ERA of 4.22 (122 earned runs allowed).

With 21 save situations, the Braves have amassed 10 holds and also 5 blown saves. Atlanta has called on relief pitchers to enter the game in 11 save chances and they have walked away with 6 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 35 times in high leverage situations and on 28 occasions with runners on. Atlanta bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 36.8% of 38 inherited runners. They are ranked 23rd in the league holding a save rate of 54.5%, and they have dispatched 93 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the year.

The Atlanta Braves have gotten 20 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .989 (5th in the majors). The Braves have racked up 263 assists, 12 errors and have notched a total of 781 putouts over the course of the season. Out of their 2,343 innings on the field, the Braves hold a efficiency on defense of 71.4% (9th in pro baseball).

Smith-Shawver (2-2 career win-loss record) has earned a 3.92 ERA and has allowed 8.0 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.09 and he has faced 209 batters so far in his career. He has conceded 21 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.349 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.9. In his pro baseball career, Smith-Shawver has allowed 43 base knocks while totaling 46 K's in 48 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (+132)

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