Cincinnati Reds vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 7/2/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Wednesday, July 2, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (-122) Boston (+102)

The Cincinnati Reds (44-41) are on their way to Fenway Park on Wednesday where they will go up against the Boston Red Sox (42-44). The line on this matchup has the Reds at -122 while the Red Sox are sitting at +102. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The men taking the mound will be Nick Martinez and Brayan Bello.

Cincinnati has a slugging % of .401 and have been called out on strikes 744 times, while drawing a walk on 285 occasions. They have 375 runs batted in and 706 base knocks on the campaign, and their average at the plate comes in at .248. The Reds have tallied 140 two-baggers as a team and have hit 92 balls out of the stadium. They have tallied 393 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .320. As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are putting up 4.6 runs per game, which is 10th in baseball.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.55 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.24. Reds pitchers have relinquished 104 long balls and also 360 runs in total (16th in MLB). Cincinnati has given up 662 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) as well as 327 earned runs. The Reds are sitting with a team ERA of 3.91 so far this year (16th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 680 hitters. They have walked 267 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.29 as a unit on the season.

Reds bullpen pitchers have come into the game with players on base 67 times as well as having 77 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have racked up 53 holds so far this season (8th in the league). The Reds relief pitchers have a save rate of 67.7% and have come into the game in 86 save situations. They have recorded 21 saves over the course of the season and have blown 10 of 31 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 104 base runners over the course of the season with 32.7% of those players ended up scoring. The Reds have dispatched 288 relievers to the mound so far this year.

The Reds have converted 72.0% of balls in play into outs out of their 6,774 innings, which has them sitting at 2nd in professional baseball. The Chicago White Sox have amassed 2,258 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 650 assists and 40 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .986 which has them ranked 15th in professional baseball, and they have turned 49 double plays.

Martinez has pitched in 868 innings and has accumulated 623 K's during his pro baseball career. Martinez (42-53 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 4.03 while he has gone up against 3,685 batters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 4.10 (395 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.305. He has conceded 865 hits (9.0 hits per nine innings) and has had 268 free passes.

The Boston Red Sox have tallied an on-base percentage of .323 and a batting average of .250 so far this season. They have struck out on 795 instances (3rd in the league) and have notched a total of 741 base hits. Boston has accounted for 106 home runs for the season to go along with 393 RBIs. The Red Sox have a team slugging % of .421 and they score 4.79 runs per contest (6th in MLB). They have 163 doubles, while walking 290 times and racking up 412 runs.

The Boston pitching staff have allowed 395 runs on the year while having an ERA of 4.01 (343 earned runs surrendered). They have surrendered 85 dingers and they give up 4.62 runs per 9 innings (23rd in the league). The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.332 and have a FIP of 3.94 as a squad over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.50 (727 strikeouts vs 299 bases on balls). They come in at 23rd in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 727.

Boston has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 39 save opportunities and they have walked away with 22 saves. They are currently ranked 22nd in MLB with a save rate of 56.4%, and they have sent 283 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season. Their relievers have come in 110 times in high leverage situations and on 86 occasions with runners on base. Boston relievers have an inherited score percentage of 34.8% out of their 115 inherited base runners. Sitting with 83 save situations, the Red Sox have accumulated 42 holds and also 17 blown saves.

Out of their 6,936 innings played, the Red Sox have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 68.1% (25th in MLB). The Boston Red Sox have turned 74 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .978 (29th in the majors). The Red Sox have racked up 783 assists, 71 errors and have a total of 2,312 putouts on the season.

Thus far in his career, Bello has surrendered 468 base knocks while earning 392 K's in 447 innings pitched. Bello (31-30 career win-loss record) has a 4.27 earned run average while surrendering 9.4 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded 212 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.422 and having a FIP of 4.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.33 and he has faced 1,950 hitters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (+102)

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