Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 8/4/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Monday, August 4, 2025

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+126) Chicago (-152)

The Cincinnati Reds (57-53) are headed to Wrigley Field on Monday where they will meet the Chicago Cubs (63-45). The odds on this game have the Reds at +126 and the Cubs are sitting at -152. The total is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Nick Lodolo and Michael Soroka.

As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are putting up 4.6 runs per game, which has them at 10th in MLB. They have accounted for 507 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .321. The Reds have tallied 173 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 114 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 476 runs batted in as well as 913 hits so far this year, while their team batting average is .247. Cincinnati is slugging .394 and have been rung up 943 times, while being walked on 373 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.60 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.25. Reds pitchers have allowed 122 home runs and also 464 total runs (14th in baseball). Cincinnati has given up 862 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) as well as 422 earned runs. The Reds have an ERA of 3.90 so far this season (14th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 907 hitters. They have walked 349 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.07 as a unit on the campaign.

The Reds relievers have recorded a save rate of 65.0% and have come into the game in 110 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 150 runners on the campaign and 34.7% of those players crossed the plate. Reds relief pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 94 times as well as having 99 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have dispatched 373 relievers to the hill so far this year. The relievers have earned 68 holds for the year (8th in the league). They have earned 26 saves on the season and have blown 14 of their 40 save opportunities.

The Chicago White Sox have a tally of 2,918 putouts on the year, in addition to 827 assists and 58 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .985 which has them sitting 23rd in MLB, and they have turned 66 double plays. The Reds have turned 71.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 8,754 innings on the field, which has them sitting 8th in pro baseball.

Lodolo (23-20 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.98 and he has gone up against 1,621 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has allowed 351 base knocks (8.3 hits per nine innings) and has 110 free passes. His ERA is 4.04 (171 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.210. Lodolo has pitched in 381 frames and has racked up 423 K's in his MLB career.

The Chicago Cubs have compiled an OBP of .325 and a team batting average of .255 so far this season. They have been rung up on 840 instances (26th in baseball) and have 951 hits. Chicago has knocked in 158 home runs on the year to go along with 555 RBIs. The Cubs have a team slugging percentage of .444 and they average 5.28 runs per outing (1st in baseball). They have 188 two-baggers, while getting a free base 372 times as well as scoring 570 runs.

The Cubs have a team WHIP of 1.235 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.33 as a staff on the campaign. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 7.50 (804 strikeouts vs 285 free passes). They come in at 17th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 901. They have allowed 141 homers and they relinquish 4.28 runs per 9 innings (13th in MLB). The Chicago pitching staff have conceded 457 runs for the season while having a team ERA of 3.96 (423 earned runs conceded).

Chicago has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 36 save opportunities and they have recorded 25 saves. They are ranked 5th in the league with a save rate of 69.4%, and they have dispatched 356 relievers to the hill this year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 101 times in high leverage situations and also on 74 occasions with base runners. Chicago relievers hold an inherited score rate of 30.1% out of their 103 inherited base runners. Sitting with 106 save situations, the Cubs have accrued 67 holds and also 11 blown saves.

The Chicago Cubs have gotten 88 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .988 (8th in pro baseball). The Cubs have 909 assists, 46 errors and have accumulated 2,882 putouts over the course of the season. Out of their 8,646 innings on the diamond, the Cubs have earned a efficiency on defense of 71.2% (4th in professional baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Soroka has given up 364 hits while he has accumulated 371 strikeouts in 407 frames. He has conceded a total of 177 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.226 and having a FIP of 3.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.75 and he has gone up against 1,706 opposing batters during his MLB career. Soroka (20-26 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 3.91 ERA while conceding 8.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+126)

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