Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 6/11/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Wednesday, June 11, 2025

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: CLEGuardians.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+126) Cleveland (-152)

The Cleveland Guardians (34-31) will take on the Cincinnati Reds (34-33) at Progressive Field on Wednesday. The moneyline on this game has the Reds at +126 while the Guardians are at -152. The betting total is set at 9. The pitchers expected to start will be Nick Lodolo and Logan Allen.

The Reds have recorded 113 doubles as a squad and have hit 73 balls out of the park. Cincinnati owns a slugging percentage of .401 and have struck out 589 times, while being walked on 235 occasions. As a unit, the Cincinnati Reds are scoring 4.6 runs per contest, which has them at 9th in the league. They have compiled 296 runs batted in in addition to 555 hits on the season, while their team batting average is at .247. They are sitting with 308 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .322.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.64 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.19. Reds pitchers have given up 76 home runs and 267 total runs (13th in MLB). Cincinnati has yielded 506 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and also 245 earned runs. The Reds have a team earned run average of 3.71 this year (11th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 536 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 203 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.08 as a squad on the campaign.

Reds bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 44 times in addition to having 61 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have a total of 45 holds on the campaign (8th in the league). The Reds relievers have recorded a save rate of 70.4% and have come into the game in 74 save situations. They have recorded 19 saves for the year and have blown 8 out of their 27 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 70 runners so far this season and 31.4% of those runners crossed home plate. The Reds have sent 224 relief pitchers to the mound this season.

The Chicago White Sox have amassed 1,782 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 518 assists and 31 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .987 which has them sitting 14th in baseball, and have 41 double plays. The Reds have turned 72.4% of baseballs in play into outs in their 5,346 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 2nd in pro baseball.

Lodolo has taken the hill for 328 innings and has racked up 364 punch outs during his MLB career. His ERA is 4.22 (154 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.246. He has conceded 309 hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has 100 walks. Lodolo (19-18 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 4.16 while he has faced 1,411 hitters in the majors.

The Cleveland Guardians are sitting with a team OBP of .307 in addition to a team batting average of .234 over the course of the season. They have struck out on 530 occasions (19th in baseball) and have tallied 496 base knocks. Cleveland has a total of 67 HRs on the campaign to go along with 240 RBIs. The Guardians have a team slugging percentage of .376 and they earn 3.91 runs per contest (24th in MLB). They have recorded 89 two-baggers, while getting a free base 210 times and putting up 254 runs.

The Cleveland pitching staff have surrendered 276 runs on the year while having an ERA of 3.99 (254 earned runs allowed). They have conceded 71 dingers and they concede 4.33 runs per 9 innings (19th in the league). The Guardians have a team WHIP of 1.378 in addition to having a FIP of 4.09 as a unit on the year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.60 (550 strikeouts vs 237 walks). They are sitting at 19th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 553.

Sitting with 71 save situations, the Guardians have amassed 46 holds and 5 blown saves. Cleveland has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 24 save opportunities and they have come away with 19 saves. Their relievers have come in 59 times in high leverage situations in addition to 54 occasions with base runners. Cleveland relievers have an inherited score percentage of 34.2% of 76 inherited runners. They are ranked 1st in baseball holding a save percentage of 79.2%, and they have sent 221 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond this year.

The Cleveland Guardians have gotten 52 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .981 (28th in the majors). The Guardians have accrued 503 assists, 43 errors and have a tally of 1,721 putouts so far this year. In their 5,163 innings played, the Guardians have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.0% (25th in baseball).

Allen (18-17 record in his career) has a 4.61 earned run average and has allowed 9.7 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.05 and he has gone up against 1,218 hitters in his career. He has allowed 142 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.501 and having a FIP of 4.5. In his pro baseball career, Allen has given up 300 base hits and he has 238 K's in 277 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cleveland (-152)

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