Cincinnati Reds vs Houston Astros Prediction, 5/9/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Houston Astros

Date: Friday, May 9, 2025

Location: Daikin Park in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+106) Houston (-128)

Daikin Park is the location where the Houston Astros (18-18) will meet the Cincinnati Reds (19-19) on Friday. The moneyline on this contest has Cincinnati at +106 while Houston is at -128. The over/under has been set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Nick Martinez and Hunter Brown.

As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are scoring 4.8 runs per game, which is 10th in MLB. They have tallied 181 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .322. The Reds have recorded 56 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 39 balls out of the park. They have recorded 174 RBI's and 308 hits for the season, while their team batting average is at .242. Cincinnati owns a slugging percentage of .382 and have been rung up 331 times, while drawing a walk on 139 occasions.

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The Reds have an ERA of 3.59 for the season (9th in the league), and the staff has struck out 318 hitters. Reds pitchers have allowed 47 home runs and 151 total runs (13th in MLB). They have walked 114 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.16 as a team for the year. Cincinnati has allowed 263 hits (7.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 134 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.79 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.12.

The Reds have sent 125 relievers to the hill on the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 43 runners so far this year and 30.2% of those runners crossed the plate. They have earned 11 saves this year and have not converted 5 of their 16 chances to save the game. The Reds bullpen have a save percentage of 68.8% and have stepped onto the mound in 46 save situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 29 holds this year (4th in MLB). Reds bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 28 times and also have had 38 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Chicago White Sox are sitting with 1,009 putouts on the year, as well as 273 assists and 21 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which ranks 20th in MLB, and have 16 double plays. The Reds have converted 74.3% of balls hit into play into outs in their 3,027 innings, which ranks them 1st in professional baseball.

Martinez has pitched in 812 frames and is sitting with 586 punch outs during his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.10 (370 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.320. He has conceded 814 hits (9.0 hits per nine innings) and has had 258 walks. Martinez (38-48 career record) holds a FIP of 4.04 and he has gone up against 3,463 batters in the major leagues.

The Houston Astros have recorded an on-base percentage of .313 and a batting average of .241 so far this year. They have struck out on 282 occasions (25th in the league) and have notched a total of 287 base hits. Houston has compiled 31 long balls on the year as well as 137 runs batted in. The Astros have a SLG% of .366 and they score 4.03 runs per contest (18th in MLB). They have hit 48 two-baggers, while getting a free base 114 times as well as recording 145 runs.

The Houston pitching staff have allowed 129 runs this year while holding an ERA of 3.37 (118 earned runs yielded). They have conceded 33 long balls and they surrender 3.68 runs per 9 innings (5th in the league). The Astros are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.133 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.48 as a unit over the course of the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.40 (330 strikeouts against 107 walks). They sit at 3rd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 250.

Houston relievers hold an inherited score rate of 28.2% of 39 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 29 times in high leverage situations and also on 27 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 36 save situations, the Astros have 23 holds and also 4 blown saves. They sit at 8th in baseball with a save percentage of 69.2%, and they have dispatched 114 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the campaign. Houston has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 13 save opportunities and they have walked away with 9 saves.

The Houston Astros have gotten 20 double plays and have a fielding rate of .989 (6th in professional baseball). The Astros have accrued 272 assists, 14 errors and have earned 947 putouts so far this season. In their 2,841 innings on the diamond, the Astros have earned a efficiency on defense of 72.2% (4th in the majors).

In his pro baseball career, Brown has surrendered 356 base hits and he has 428 K's in 389 frames. He has conceded 164 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.254 and having a FIP of 3.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.24 and he has faced 1,615 opposing hitters in his career. Brown (29-23 career mark) has a 3.79 ERA and has conceded 8.2 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston (-128)

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