Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Prediction, 7/19/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets

Date: Saturday, July 19, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+106) New York (-128)

The Cincinnati Reds (50-47) are en route to Citi Field on Saturday where they will try to beat the New York Mets (55-42). The odds on this game have the Reds at +106 while the Mets open at -128. The total comes in at 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Nick Martinez and Sean Manaea.

As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are putting up 4.6 runs per outing, which is 13th in the league. They have tallied 441 runs while holding a team OBP of .317. The Reds have tallied 156 doubles as a squad and have smacked 103 baseballs out of the park. They have tallied 417 runs batted in in addition to 800 hits this season, and their average at the plate is sitting at .246. Cincinnati has a slugging % of .397 and have been called out on strikes 842 times, while taking a walk on 317 occasions.

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The Reds are sitting with a team ERA of 3.91 for the year (17th in baseball), and they have struck out 783 batters. Reds pitchers have relinquished 114 home runs in addition to 410 runs in total (16th in the league). They have walked 302 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.18 as a team on the campaign. Cincinnati has given up 761 base knocks (8.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 373 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.59 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.24.

The Reds bullpen have earned a save rate of 67.6% and have entered the game in 95 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 122 base runners this season and 33.6% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. Reds bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 78 times in addition to having 86 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have dispatched 327 relievers to the hill so far this season. The relief pitchers have earned 59 holds so far this year (10th in the league). They have 23 saves for the year and have blown 11 out of their 34 chances to get a save.

The Chicago White Sox have earned a total of 2,573 putouts so far this season, in addition to 739 assists and 48 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .986 which is 19th in the majors, and they have turned 58 double plays. The Reds have turned 71.5% of balls hit into play into outs in their 7,719 innings, which has them ranked 4th in the majors.

Martinez has thrown 885 innings and has totaled 630 K's so far in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.18 (411 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.308. He has given up 886 hits (9.0 hits per 9 innings) and has 272 free passes. Martinez (44-54 career mark) has a FIP of 4.12 while he has faced 3,759 opposing batters in the majors.

New York has a total of 124 long balls so far this year to go along with 416 runs batted in. They have 152 doubles, while getting a free base 334 times and scoring 426 runs. The New York Mets hold a team on-base percentage of .323 in addition to a team batting average of .244 so far this season. The Mets hold a slugging % of .415 and they have an average of 4.39 runs per contest (14th in MLB). They have struck out on 769 occasions (19th in baseball) and have earned 788 base knocks.

The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.298 in addition to having a FIP of 3.76 as a team on the year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.70 (827 strikeouts vs 348 walks). They are currently ranked 11th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 768. They have relinquished 83 homers and they surrender 3.99 runs per 9 innings (7th in the league). The New York pitching staff have given up 381 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 3.56 (340 earned runs yielded).

New York has had relievers step onto the mound in 45 save chances and they have recorded 28 saves. They sit at 14th in MLB with a save rate of 62.2%, and they have dispatched 309 relievers to the mound so far this season. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 117 times in high leverage situations and also on 105 occasions with runners on base. New York relievers have an inherited score percentage of 33.8% of 160 inherited runners. With 107 save situations, the Mets have earned 62 holds and 17 blown saves.

In 7,743 innings on the diamond, the Mets are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (18th in pro baseball). The New York Mets have gotten 77 double plays and have a fielding rate of .987 (11th in professional baseball). The Mets have racked up 885 assists, 45 errors and have accounted for 2,581 putouts on the campaign.

So far in his MLB career, Manaea has conceded 1,088 base knocks while earning 1,109 strikeouts in 1,184 frames. Manaea (77-62 record in his career) has earned a 4.01 earned run average and has conceded 8.3 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 527 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.202 and having a FIP of 3.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.31 and he has faced 4,933 batters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+106)

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