Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Prediction, 7/20/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets
Date: Sunday, July 20, 2025
Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY
TV: Sportsnet New York
Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+106) New York (-128)
Citi Field is where the New York Mets (55-42) will play the Cincinnati Reds (50-47) on Sunday. The line on this contest has Cincinnati at +106 and New York is sitting at -128. The total is 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Andrew Abbott and David Peterson.


Cincinnati has a slugging % of .397 and have been called out on strikes 842 times, while drawing a walk on 317 occasions. They have tallied 417 runs batted in as well as 800 base knocks so far this year, and their team batting average comes in at .246. The Reds have compiled 156 doubles as a unit and have knocked 103 balls out of the park. They have notched a total of 441 runs scored and have an OBP of .317. As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are scoring 4.6 runs per game, which has them sitting at 13th in the league.
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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.59 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.24. Reds pitchers have given up 114 home runs and 410 runs (16th in baseball). Cincinnati has allowed 761 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) as well as 373 earned runs. The Reds are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.91 for the year (17th in the league), and the staff has rung up 783 hitters. They have walked 302 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.18 as a unit this season.
The Reds have dispatched 327 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 122 runners this year with 33.6% of those players crossed the plate. They have accumulated 23 saves on the season and have blown 11 out of their 34 save chances. The Reds relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 67.6% and have entered the game in 95 save situations. The relief pitchers have 59 holds on the season (10th in the league). Reds relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 78 times as well as having 86 appearances in high leverage situations.
The Reds have converted 71.5% of balls in play into outs out of their 7,719 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 4th in MLB. The Chicago White Sox have notched a total of 2,573 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 739 assists and 48 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .986 which puts them in 19th in professional baseball, and have earned 58 double plays.
Abbott (26-17 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.28 while facing 1,414 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has conceded 302 hits (8.0 hits per nine innings) and has had 120 free passes. His earned run average is 3.33 (125 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.248. Abbott has taken the ball for 338 innings and has totaled 317 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career.
New York has accounted for 124 home runs on the season to go along with 416 RBIs. They have hit 152 two-baggers, while taking a walk 334 times and scoring 426 runs. The New York Mets have accumulated an OBP of .323 as well as a batting average of .244 so far this year. The Mets have a SLG% of .415 and they average 4.39 runs per contest (14th in MLB). They have struck out on 769 instances (19th in baseball) and are sitting with 788 hits.
The New York pitching staff have conceded 381 runs for the season while having a team ERA of 3.56 (340 earned runs surrendered). They have surrendered 83 dingers and they give up 3.99 runs per 9 innings (7th in MLB). The Mets have a WHIP of 1.298 and have a FIP of 3.76 as a squad this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.70 (827 strikeouts against 348 free passes). They are sitting at 11th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 768.
New York has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 45 save chances and they have come away with 28 saves. They sit at 14th in the league with a save percentage of 62.2%, and they have dispatched 309 bullpen pitchers onto the field so far this season. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 117 times in high leverage situations in addition to 105 occasions with runners on. New York bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 33.8% out of 160 inherited runners. With 107 save situations, the Mets have 62 holds and also 17 blown saves.
In 7,743 innings on the diamond, the Mets have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (18th in baseball). The New York Mets have gotten 77 double plays and have a fielding rate of .987 (11th in pro baseball). The Mets have recorded 885 assists, 45 errors and have amassed 2,581 putouts this season.
Thus far in his career, Peterson has surrendered 525 base knocks while accumulating 557 strikeouts in 563 frames. Peterson (34-28 record in his career) has a 3.88 ERA while surrendering 8.4 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 243 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.348 and having a FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio is 2.38 and he has gone up against 2,402 opposing batters thus far in his career.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+106)
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Additional Resources:
New York Mets - Twitter
Cincinnati Reds - Twitter